8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d)

of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 21, 2016

 

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

UNITED AIRLINES, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Delaware   001-06033   36-2675207
Delaware   001-10323   74-2099724

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(IRS Employer

Identification Number)

 

233 S. Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL   60606
233 S. Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL   60606
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

(872) 825-4000

(872) 825-4000

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 


Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 21, 2016, United Continental Holdings, Inc. (“UAL”), the holding company whose primary subsidiary is United Airlines, Inc. (“United,” and together with UAL, the “Company”), issued a press release announcing the financial results of the Company for fourth quarter and full year 2015. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

 

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

On January 21, 2016, UAL will provide an investor update related to the financial and operational outlook for the Company for first quarter and full year 2016. A copy of the investor update is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

 

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

Exhibit

No.

  

Description

99.1*    Press Release issued by United Continental Holdings, Inc. dated January 21, 2016
99.2*    Investor Update issued by United Continental Holdings, Inc. dated January 21, 2016

 

* Furnished herewith electronically.


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.
    UNITED AIRLINES, INC.
    By:  

/s/ Chris Kenny

    Name:   Chris Kenny
    Title:   Vice President and Controller
Date: January 21, 2016      


EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit

No.

  

Description

99.1*    Press Release issued by United Continental Holdings, Inc. dated January 21, 2016
99.2*    Investor Update issued by United Continental Holdings, Inc. dated January 21, 2016

 

* Furnished herewith electronically.
EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

United Airlines Announces

Full-Year 2015 Profit

Company Also Announces Record Fourth-Quarter Profit

CHICAGO, Jan. 21, 2016 – United Airlines (UAL) today reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2015 financial results.

 

    UAL reported full-year net income of $4.5 billion, or $11.88 per diluted share, excluding special items. Including special items, UAL reported full-year net income of $7.3 billion. These results include a nonrecurring $3.1 billion non-cash benefit associated with the reversal of the company’s income tax valuation allowance.
    UAL reported fourth-quarter net income of $934 million, or $2.54 per diluted share, excluding special items. Including special items, UAL reported fourth-quarter net income of $823 million.
    Today, UAL announced it reached an agreement to acquire 40 new Boeing 737-700 aircraft which will enter the fleet beginning in mid-2017, replacing a portion of the capacity currently operated by regional partners.
    Employees earned a record $698 million in profit sharing for full-year 2015.

“We improved our operational performance, continued to invest in our products and services and achieved record financial performance,” said Brett J. Hart, UAL’s acting chief executive officer. “We have great momentum as we head into 2016 and are committed to continuously earning the trust of our customers and employees. I’m proud of what we accomplished together, running a reliable airline and making the right investments to deliver shareholder value. We expect first-quarter pre-tax margin to be between 8 and 10 percent, excluding special items.”

Full-Year and Fourth-Quarter Revenue and Capacity

For the fourth quarter of 2015, total revenue was $9.0 billion, a decrease of 3.0 percent year-over-year. Fourth-quarter 2015 consolidated PRASM decreased 6.0 percent and consolidated yield decreased 7.2 percent compared to the fourth quarter of 2014. For the full-year 2015, consolidated PRASM declined 4.4 percent versus the prior year. The declines in PRASM and yield were driven largely by a strong U.S. dollar, lower surcharges, travel reductions from customers impacted by declining oil prices, and softening domestic and international yields.


United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 2

Passenger revenue for the fourth quarter and full year of 2015 and period-to-period comparisons of related statistics for UAL’s mainline and regional operations are included in the tables in the back of this document.

Full-Year and Fourth-Quarter Costs

Total operating expense excluding special charges was $7.8 billion in the fourth quarter, down 8.1 percent year-over-year. Including special charges, total operating expense was $8.0 billion, an 8.4 percent decrease year-over-year. The decrease was largely driven by lower oil prices. Consolidated unit cost (CASM), excluding special charges, third-party business expenses, fuel and profit sharing, was flat compared to the fourth quarter of 2014. Consolidated CASM including those items decreased 10 percent year-over-year. For the full year, consolidated CASM excluding special charges, third-party business expenses, fuel and profit sharing decreased 0.7 percent year-over-year. This strong cost performance was largely the result of improved efficiency as part of the company’s Project Quality and upgauging initiatives and better completion as a result of improved operational performance. Consolidated CASM including those items decreased 11.9 percent compared to full-year 2014.

Liquidity and Capital Allocation

In the fourth quarter, UAL generated $1.1 billion in operating cash flow and $324 million in free cash flow, and ended the quarter with $6.5 billion in unrestricted liquidity, including $1.35 billion of undrawn commitments under its revolving credit facility. During the fourth quarter, the company continued to invest in its business through gross capital expenditures of $791 million, excluding fully reimbursable projects, including approximately $300 million in aircraft-related deposits that shifted to the fourth quarter of 2015 from the first quarter of 2016.

The company spent $520 million toward its $3 billion share repurchase authorization in the fourth quarter. For the year, United repurchased approximately $1.2 billion worth of shares.

UAL earned a 21.0 percent return on invested capital for the 12 months ended Dec. 31, 2015.

Fleet Updates

Today, UAL announced it would take delivery of 40 new Boeing 737-700 aircraft, which will enter the fleet beginning in mid-2017. These aircraft will replace a portion of the capacity currently operated by the company’s regional partners, as the company expects to reduce by more than half the number of 50-seat aircraft in its fleet by 2019.

“Our customers have a preference for an improved travel experience, including first class seats, Economy Plus, and Wi-Fi. These aircraft are an efficient way to meet those needs while reducing 50-seat flying,” said Gerry Laderman, UAL’s acting chief financial officer.

For more information on UAL’s first-quarter 2016 guidance, please visit ir.united.com for the company’s investor update.

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 3

The company will provide further details on its full-year 2015 financial results on an investor conference call today at 9:30 a.m. CT. Participants in the call will include Oscar Munoz, president and CEO; Brett J. Hart, acting CEO; Gerry Laderman, acting chief financial officer; Jim Compton, vice chairman and chief revenue officer; and Greg Hart, executive vice president and chief operations officer.

About United

United Airlines and United Express operate an average of nearly 5,000 flights a day to 342 airports across six continents. In 2015, United and United Express operated nearly two million flights carrying 140 million customers. United is proud to have the world’s most comprehensive route network, including U.S. mainland hubs in Chicago, Denver, Houston, Los Angeles, New York/Newark, San Francisco and Washington, D.C. United operates more than 700 mainline aircraft, and this year, the airline anticipates taking delivery of 20 new Boeing aircraft, including 737NGs, 787s and 777s. The airline is a founding member of Star Alliance, which provides service to 192 countries via 28 member airlines. Approximately 84,000 United employees reside in every U.S. state and in countries around the world. For more information, visit united.com, follow @United on Twitter or connect on Facebook. The common stock of United’s parent, United Continental Holdings, Inc., is traded on the NYSE under the symbol UAL.

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Certain statements included in this release are forward-looking and thus reflect our current expectations and beliefs with respect to certain current and future events and financial performance. Such forward-looking statements are and will be subject to many risks and uncertainties relating to our operations and business environment that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Words such as “expects,” “will,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “goals” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Additionally, forward-looking statements include statements that do not relate solely to historical facts, such as statements which identify uncertainties or trends, discuss the possible future effects of current known trends or uncertainties or which indicate that the future effects of known trends or uncertainties cannot be predicted, guaranteed or assured. All forward-looking statements in this report are based upon information available to us on the date of this report. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to numerous factors including, without limitation, the following: our ability to comply with the terms of our various financing arrangements; the costs and availability of financing; our ability to maintain adequate liquidity; our ability to execute our operational plans, including optimizing our revenue; our ability to control our costs, including realizing benefits from our resource optimization efforts, cost reduction initiatives and fleet replacement programs; our ability to utilize our net operating losses; our ability to attract and retain customers; demand for transportation in the markets in which we operate; an outbreak of a disease that affects travel demand or travel behavior; demand for travel and the impact that global economic conditions have on customer travel patterns; excessive taxation and the inability to offset future taxable income; general economic conditions (including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, investment or credit market conditions, crude oil prices, costs of aircraft fuel and energy refining capacity in relevant markets); our ability to cost-effectively hedge against increases in the price of aircraft fuel; any potential realized or unrealized gains or losses related to fuel or currency hedging programs; the effects of any hostilities, act of war or terrorist attack; the ability of other air carriers with whom we have alliances or partnerships to provide the services contemplated by the respective arrangements with such carriers; the costs and availability of aviation and other insurance; industry consolidation or changes in airline alliances; competitive pressures on pricing and on demand; our capacity decisions and the capacity decisions of our competitors; U.S. or foreign governmental legislation, regulation and other actions (including open skies agreements and environmental regulations); the impact of regulatory, investigative and legal proceedings and legal compliance risks; the impact of any management changes; our CEO’s health prognosis and return from medical leave; labor costs; our ability to maintain satisfactory labor relations and the results of the collective bargaining agreement process with our union groups; any disruptions to operations due to any potential actions by our labor groups; weather conditions; and other risks and uncertainties set forth under Item 1A., Risk Factors, of UAL’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, as well as other risks and uncertainties set forth from time to time in the reports we file with the SEC.

-tables attached-

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 4

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

STATEMENTS OF CONSOLIDATED OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED)

THREE MONTHS AND YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2015 AND 2014

 

     Three Months Ended
December 31,
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
    Year Ended
December 31,
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
 
(In millions, except per share data)    2015     2014       2015     2014    
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 
Operating revenue:             

Passenger: (A)

            

Mainline

   $ 6,180      $ 6,375        (3.1   $ 26,333      $ 26,785        (1.7

Regional

     1,549        1,708        (9.3     6,452        6,977        (7.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total passenger revenue

     7,729        8,083        (4.4     32,785        33,762        (2.9

Cargo

     231        260        (11.2     937        938        (0.1

Other operating revenue

     1,076        970        10.9        4,142        4,201        (1.4
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total operating revenue

     9,036        9,313        (3.0     37,864        38,901        (2.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Operating expense:             

Salaries and related costs

     2,424        2,251        7.7        9,713        8,935        8.7   

Aircraft fuel (B)

     1,618        2,530        (36.0     7,522        11,675        (35.6

Regional capacity purchase

     565        597        (5.4     2,290        2,344        (2.3

Landing fees and other rent

     556        568        (2.1     2,203        2,274        (3.1

Depreciation and amortization

     476        431        10.4        1,819        1,679        8.3   

Aircraft maintenance materials and outside repairs

     399        415        (3.9     1,651        1,779        (7.2

Distribution expenses

     316        334        (5.4     1,342        1,373        (2.3

Aircraft rent

     174        215        (19.1     754        883        (14.6

Special charges (C)

     131        179        NM        326        443        NM   

Other operating expenses

     1,296        1,168        11.0        5,078        5,143        (1.3
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total operating expense

     7,955        8,688        (8.4     32,698        36,528        (10.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Operating income      1,081        625        73.0        5,166        2,373        117.7   
Nonoperating income (expense):             

Interest expense

     (165     (176     (6.3     (669     (735     (9.0

Interest capitalized

     11        12        (8.3     49        52        (5.8

Interest income

     9        5        80.0        25        22        13.6   

Miscellaneous, net (C)

     (31     (443     (93.0     (352     (584     (39.7
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total nonoperating expense

     (176     (602     (70.8     (947     (1,245     (23.9
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Income before income taxes      905        23        NM        4,219        1,128        274.0   
Income tax expense (benefit) (D)      82        (5     NM        (3,121     (4     NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Net income    $ 823      $ 28        NM      $ 7,340      $ 1,132        NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Earnings per share, basic    $ 2.24      $ 0.08        NM      $ 19.52      $ 3.05        NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Earnings per share, diluted    $ 2.24      $ 0.07        NM      $ 19.47      $ 2.93        NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Weighted average shares, basic      367        372        (1.3     376        371        1.3   
Weighted average shares, diluted      367        376        (2.4     377        390        (3.3

NM Not meaningful

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 5

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NOTES (UNAUDITED)

 

(A) Select passenger revenue information is as follows (in millions):

 

     4Q 2015
Passenger
Revenue
(millions)
     Passenger
Revenue
vs.
4Q 2014
    PRASM
vs.
4Q 2014
    Yield
vs.
4Q 2014
    Available
Seat Miles
vs.
4Q 2014
 

Domestic

   $ 3,249         0.9     (3.2 %)      (5.6 %)      4.3

Atlantic

     1,314         (3.2 %)      (2.7 %)      (1.5 %)      (0.5 %) 

Pacific

     1,012         (8.6 %)      (8.6 %)      (9.2 %)      0.0

Latin America

     605         (12.6 %)      (20.9 %)      (20.8 %)      10.5
  

 

 

          

International

     2,931         (7.1 %)      (8.9 %)      (8.7 %)      1.9

Mainline

     6,180         (3.1 %)      (6.0 %)      (7.1 %)      3.1

Regional

     1,549         (9.3 %)      (3.0 %)      (4.2 %)      (6.6 %) 
  

 

 

          

Consolidated

   $ 7,729         (4.4 %)      (6.0 %)      (7.2 %)      1.8
  

 

 

          

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 6

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NOTES (UNAUDITED)

 

(B) UAL’s results of operations include fuel expense for both mainline and regional operations.

 

     Three Months Ended
December 31,
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
    Year Ended
December 31,
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
 
(In millions, except per gallon)    2015     2014       2015     2014    
Mainline fuel expense excluding hedge impacts    $ 1,184      $ 1,982        (40.3   $ 5,711      $ 9,408        (39.3

Hedge losses reported in fuel expense (a)

     (175     (85     NM        (604     (89     NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Total mainline fuel expense      1,359        2,067        (34.3     6,315        9,497        (33.5
Regional fuel expense      259        463        (44.1     1,207        2,178        (44.6
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Consolidated fuel expense      1,618        2,530        (36.0     7,522        11,675        (35.6

Cash paid on settled hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting (b)

     (115     (151     NM        (329     (138     NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Fuel expense including all losses from settled hedges    $ 1,733      $ 2,681        (35.4   $ 7,851      $ 11,813        (33.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   
Mainline fuel consumption (gallons)      784        769        2.0        3,216        3,183        1.0   

Mainline average aircraft fuel price per gallon excluding hedge losses recorded in fuel expense

   $ 1.51      $ 2.58        (41.5   $ 1.78      $ 2.96        (39.9
Mainline average aircraft fuel price per gallon    $ 1.73      $ 2.69        (35.7   $ 1.96      $ 2.98        (34.2

Mainline average aircraft fuel price per gallon including cash paid on settled hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting

   $ 1.88      $ 2.88        (34.7   $ 2.07      $ 3.03        (31.7
Regional fuel consumption (gallons)      167        179        (6.7     670        722        (7.2
Regional average aircraft fuel price per gallon    $ 1.55      $ 2.59        (40.2   $ 1.80      $ 3.02        (40.4
Consolidated fuel consumption (gallons)      951        948        0.3        3,886        3,905        (0.5

Consolidated average aircraft fuel price per gallon excluding hedge losses recorded in fuel expense

   $ 1.52      $ 2.58        (41.1   $ 1.78      $ 2.97        (40.1
Consolidated average aircraft fuel price per gallon    $ 1.70      $ 2.67        (36.3   $ 1.94      $ 2.99        (35.1

Consolidated average aircraft fuel price per gallon including cash paid on settled hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting

   $ 1.82      $ 2.83        (35.7   $ 2.02      $ 3.03        (33.3

 

(a) Includes losses from settled hedges that were designated for hedge accounting. UAL allocates 100 percent of hedge accounting gains (losses) to mainline fuel expense.
(b) Includes ineffectiveness losses on settled hedges and losses on settled hedges that were not designated for hedge accounting. Ineffectiveness gains (losses) and gains (losses) on hedges that do not qualify for hedge accounting are recorded in Nonoperating income (expense): Miscellaneous, net.

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 7

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NOTES (UNAUDITED)

 

(C) Special items include the following:

 

     Three Months Ended
December 31,
    Year Ended
December 31,
 
(In millions)    2015     2014     2015     2014  

Operating:

    
Impairment of assets    $ 48      $ 16      $ 79      $ 49   
Integration-related costs      13        17        60        96   
Severance and benefit costs      4        141        107        199   

(Gains) losses on sale of assets and other miscellaneous (gains) losses, net

     66        5        80        99   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Special charges

     131        179        326        443   

Nonoperating and income taxes:

  

 
Loss on extinguishment of debt and other, net      7        53        202        74   
Income tax benefit related to special charges      (11     (6     (11     (10
Income tax expense (benefit) associated with valuation allowance release (D)      88        —          (3,130     —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total operating and nonoperating special charges, net of income taxes

     215        226        (2,613     507   
Mark-to-market (MTM) (gains) losses from fuel derivative contracts settling in future periods      1        225        (8     244   

Prior period gains (losses) on fuel derivative contracts settled in the current period

     (105     (18     (241     83   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Total special items, net of income taxes

   $ 111      $ 433      $ (2,862   $ 834   
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

2015 - Special items

Impairment of assets: During its annual assessment in the fourth quarter of 2015, the company recorded $33 million ($22 million net of related income tax benefit) related to impairment of its indefinite-lived intangible assets (certain domestic slots and international Pacific routes), $8 million for the write-off of unexercised aircraft purchase options and $7 million for inventory held for sale. For the full-year 2015, the company also recorded other impairments, including $10 million for discontinued internal software projects and $10 million for the impairment of several engines held for sale.

Integration-related costs: Integration-related costs include compensation costs related primarily to systems integration and training for employees.

Severance and benefit costs: In 2015, the company recorded $107 million of severance and benefit costs primarily related to a voluntary early-out program for its flight attendants. In 2014, more than 2,500 flight attendants elected to voluntarily separate from the company and will receive a severance payment, with a maximum value of $100,000 per participant, based on years of service, with retirement dates through the end of 2016.

(Gains) losses on sale of assets and other miscellaneous (gains) losses, net: During 2015, the company recorded $80 million, which includes $32 million related to charges for legal matters, $18 million related to collective bargaining agreements, $16 million for the cease use of an aircraft under lease and $14 million for losses on the sale of aircraft and other miscellaneous gains and losses.

Loss on extinguishment of debt and other, net: During 2015, the company recorded $202 million of losses as part of Nonoperating income (expense): Miscellaneous, net due primarily to the write-off of $134 million related to the unamortized non-cash debt discount from the extinguishment of the 6% Notes due 2026 and 6% Notes due 2028.

During 2015, the company also recorded a $61 million foreign exchange loss related to its cash holdings in Venezuela. The Venezuelan government has maintained currency controls and fixed official exchange rates (i.e. Sistema Complementario de Administracion de Divisas, or SICAD, and Sistema Marginal de Divisas, or SIMADI) for many years. Previously, airlines were permitted to use the more favorable SICAD rate (currently 13.5 Venezuelan bolivars to one U.S. dollar) if repatriating profits and for payments of local goods and services in Venezuela. During 2015, many of the payments for local goods and services have transitioned to utilizing the SIMADI rate (currently 200 Venezuelan bolivars to one U.S. dollar) or have been required to be paid in U.S. dollars. Furthermore, the Venezuelan government has not permitted the exchange and repatriations of local currency since mid-2014. As a result, the Company decided to change the exchange rate from historical SICAD rates to a combination of SIMADI and SICAD rates based on projections of future cash payments. Including this adjustment, the company’s resulting cash balance held in Venezuelan bolivars at December 31, 2015 is approximately $13 million.

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 8

MTM (gains) losses from fuel derivative contracts settling in future periods and prior period losses on fuel derivative contracts settled in the current period: The company uses certain combinations of derivative contracts that are economic hedges but do not qualify for hedge accounting under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Additionally, the company may enter into contracts at different times and later combine those contracts into structures designated for hedge accounting. As with derivatives that qualify for hedge accounting, the economic hedges and individual contracts are part of the company’s program to mitigate the adverse financial impact of potential increases in the price of fuel. The company records changes in the fair value of these various contracts that are not designated for hedge accounting to Nonoperating income (expense): Miscellaneous, net in the statements of consolidated operations. During the three months and year ended December 31, 2015, the company recorded $1 million in MTM losses and $8 million in MTM gains, respectively, on fuel derivative contracts that will settle in future periods. For fuel derivative contracts that settled in the three months and year ended December 31, 2015, the company recorded MTM losses of $105 million and $241 million, respectively, in prior periods. The figures above also include an insignificant amount of ineffectiveness on hedges that are designated for hedge accounting.

2014 - Special items

Impairment of assets: During 2014, the company recorded a charge of $16 million ($10 million net of related income tax benefits) related to its annual assessment of impairment of its indefinite-lived intangible assets (certain international Pacific routes). In addition, the company also recorded $33 million for charges related primarily to impairment of its flight equipment held for disposal associated with its Boeing 737-300 and 737-500 fleets.

Integration-related costs: Integration-related costs included compensation costs related to systems integration, training, severance and relocation for employees.

Severance and benefit costs: During the fourth quarter of 2014, the company recorded $141 million of severance and benefit costs related primarily to a voluntary early-out program for its flight attendants. More than 2,500 participants elected a one-time opportunity to voluntarily separate from the company and will receive a severance payment, with a maximum value of $100,000 per participant, based on years of service, with retirement dates through the end of 2016. In addition, the company recorded $58 million of severance and benefits primarily related to reductions of management and front-line employees, including from Hopkins International Airport (Cleveland), as part of its cost savings initiatives. The company is currently evaluating its options regarding its long-term contractual lease commitments at Cleveland. The capacity reductions at Cleveland may result in further special charges, which could be significant, related to our contractual commitments.

(Gains) losses on sale of assets and other miscellaneous (gains) losses, net: During 2014, the company recorded $66 million for the permanent grounding of 21 of the company’s Embraer ERJ 135 regional aircraft under lease through 2018, which included an accrual for remaining lease payments and an amount for maintenance return conditions. The company decided to permanently ground these 21 Embraer ERJ 135 aircraft as a result of new Embraer E175 regional jet deliveries, the impact of pilot shortages at regional carriers and fuel prices. In addition, the company also recorded $33 million for losses on the sale of assets and other special charges.

Loss on extinguishment of debt and other, net: On October 10, 2014, United used cash to retire, at par, the entire $248 million principal balance of the 6% Convertible Junior Subordinated Debentures and the 6% Convertible Preferred Securities, Term Income Deferrable Equity Securities (TIDES). The $53 million expense is primarily associated with the write-off of non-cash debt discounts recorded on the TIDES due to purchase accounting during the company’s merger transaction in 2010.

MTM losses from fuel derivative contracts settling in future periods and prior period gains (losses) on fuel derivative contracts settled in the current period: The company utilizes certain derivative instruments that are economic hedges but do not qualify for hedge accounting under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. The company records changes in the fair value of these economic hedges to Nonoperating income (expense): Miscellaneous, net in the statements of consolidated operations. During the three months and year ended December 31, 2014, the company recorded $225 million and $244 million, respectively, in MTM losses on economic hedges that will settle in future periods. For economic hedges that settled in the three months and year ended December 31, 2014, the company recorded MTM gains (losses) of ($18) million and $83 million, respectively, in prior periods. The figures above also include an insignificant amount of ineffectiveness on hedges that are designated for hedge accounting.

 

(D) The company’s income tax benefit was $3.1 billion for the year ended December 31, 2015. During 2015, after considering all positive and negative evidence and the four sources of taxable income, the Company concluded that its deferred income tax assets are more likely than not to be realized. In evaluating the likelihood of utilizing the Company’s net federal and state deferred tax assets, the significant relevant factors that the Company considered are: (1) its recent history and forecasted profitability; (2) growth in the U.S. and global economies; and (3) future impact of taxable temporary differences. Therefore, the Company released almost all of its valuation allowance in 2015, resulting in a $3.1 billion benefit in its provision for income taxes.

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 9

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

STATISTICS

 

     Three Months Ended
December 31,
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
         Year Ended
December 31,
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
     
     2015     2014          2015     2014      

Mainline:

                 

Passengers (thousands)

     24,169        22,087        9.4           96,327        91,475        5.3     

Revenue passenger miles (millions)

     44,470        42,609        4.4           183,642        179,015        2.6     

Available seat miles (millions)

     53,814        52,197        3.1           219,989        214,105        2.7     

Cargo ton miles (millions)

     679        674        0.7           2,614        2,487        5.1     

Passenger load factor:

                 

Mainline

     82.6     81.6     1.0      pt.      83.5     83.6     (0.1   pts.

Domestic

     86.1     84.1     2.0      pts.      86.3     86.0     0.3      pts.

International

     79.1     79.2     (0.1   pts.      80.8     81.3     (0.5   pts.

Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)

     11.48        12.21        (6.0        11.97        12.51        (4.3  

Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents)

     13.90        14.96        (7.1        14.34        14.96        (4.1  

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon excluding hedge losses recorded in fuel expense (a)

   $ 1.51      $ 2.58        (41.5      $ 1.78      $ 2.96        (39.9  

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon (a)

   $ 1.73      $ 2.69        (35.7      $ 1.96      $ 2.98        (34.2  

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon including cash paid on settled hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting (a)

   $ 1.88      $ 2.88        (34.7      $ 2.07      $ 3.03        (31.7  

Fuel gallons consumed (millions)

     784        769        2.0           3,216        3,183        1.0     

Aircraft in fleet at end of period

     715        691        3.5           715        691        3.5     

Average stage length (miles) (b)

     1,869        1,936        (3.5        1,922        1,958        (1.8  

Average daily utilization of each aircraft (hours)

     9:59        10:11        (2.0        10:24        10:26        (0.3  

Regional:

                 

Passengers (thousands)

     10,983        11,470        (4.2        44,042        46,554        (5.4  

Revenue passenger miles (millions)

     6,248        6,602        (5.4        24,969        26,544        (5.9  

Available seat miles (millions)

     7,490        8,016        (6.6        30,014        31,916        (6.0  

Passenger load factor

     83.4     82.4     1.0      pt.      83.2     83.2     —        pts.

Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)

     20.68        21.31        (3.0        21.50        21.86        (1.6  

Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents)

     24.79        25.87        (4.2        25.84        26.28        (1.7  

Aircraft in fleet at end of period

     524        566        (7.4        524        566        (7.4  

Average stage length (miles) (b)

     562        570        (1.4        559        561        (0.4  

Consolidated (Mainline and Regional):

                 

Passengers (thousands)

     35,152        33,557        4.8           140,369        138,029        1.7     

Revenue passenger miles (millions)

     50,718        49,211        3.1           208,611        205,559        1.5     

Available seat miles (millions)

     61,304        60,213        1.8           250,003        246,021        1.6     

Passenger load factor

     82.7     81.7     1.0      pt.      83.4     83.6     (0.2   pts.

Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)

     12.61        13.42        (6.0        13.11        13.72        (4.4  

Total revenue per available seat mile (cents)

     14.74        15.47        (4.7        15.15        15.81        (4.2  

Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents)

     15.24        16.43        (7.2        15.72        16.42        (4.3  

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon excluding hedge losses recorded in fuel expense (a)

   $ 1.52      $ 2.58        (41.1      $ 1.78      $ 2.97        (40.1  

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon (a)

   $ 1.70      $ 2.67        (36.3      $ 1.94      $ 2.99        (35.1  

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon including cash paid on settled hedges that did not qualify for hedge accounting (a)

   $ 1.82      $ 2.83        (35.7      $ 2.02      $ 3.03        (33.3  

Fuel gallons consumed (millions)

     951        948        0.3           3,886        3,905        (0.5  

Average full-time equivalent employees (thousands)

     82.1        80.5        2.0           82.1        82.0        0.1     

 

(a) Fuel price per gallon includes aircraft fuel and related taxes.
(b) Average stage length equals the average distance a flight travels weighted for size of aircraft.

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 10

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL RECONCILIATION

UAL evaluates its financial performance utilizing various accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) and Non-GAAP financial measures, including income (loss) before income taxes excluding special items, net income (loss) excluding special items, net earnings (loss) per share excluding special items, and CASM, among others. CASM is a common metric used in the airline industry to measure an airline’s cost structure and efficiency. Pursuant to SEC Regulation G, UAL has included the following reconciliation of reported Non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. UAL believes that adjusting for special items is useful to investors because special charges are non-recurring charges not indicative of UAL’s ongoing performance. In addition, the company believes that adjusting for MTM gains and losses from fuel derivative contracts settling in future periods and prior period gains and losses on fuel derivative contracts settled in the current period is useful because the adjustments allow investors to better understand the cash impact of settled fuel derivative contracts in a given period. UAL also believes that excluding third-party business expenses, such as maintenance, ground handling and catering services for third parties, fuel sales and non-air mileage redemptions, provides more meaningful disclosure because these expenses are not directly related to UAL’s core business. UAL also believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited influence. UAL excludes profit sharing because this exclusion allows investors to better understand and analyze our recurring cost performance and provides a more meaningful comparison of our core operating costs to the airline industry. UAL also believes that adjusting capital expenditures for fully reimbursable projects is useful to investors in order to appropriately reflect the non-reimbursable funds spent on capital expenditures.

 

     Three Months Ended
December 31,
     $
Increase/
(Decrease)
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
    Year Ended
December 31,
     $
Increase/
(Decrease)
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
 
(in millions)    2015      2014          2015     2014       

Operating expenses

   $ 7,955       $ 8,688       $ (733     (8.4   $ 32,698      $ 36,528       $ (3,830     (10.5

Less: Special charges (C)

     131         179         (48     NM        326        443         (117     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

Operating expenses, excluding special charges

     7,824         8,509         (685     (8.1     32,372        36,085         (3,713     (10.3

 

Less: Third-party business expenses

     86         65         21        32.3        291        534         (243     (45.5

Less: Fuel expense

     1,618         2,530         (912     (36.0     7,522        11,675         (4,153     (35.6

Less: Profit sharing, including taxes

     153         53         100        188.7        698        235         463        197.0   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

Operating expenses, excluding fuel, profit sharing, special charges and third-party business expenses

   $ 5,967       $ 5,861       $ 106        1.8      $ 23,861      $ 23,641       $ 220        0.9   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

Income before income taxes

   $ 905       $ 23       $ 882        NM      $ 4,219      $ 1,128       $ 3,091        274.0   

Less: Special items before income tax benefit

     34         439         (405     NM        279        844         (565     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

Income before income taxes and excluding special items

   $ 939       $ 462       $ 477        103.2      $ 4,498      $ 1,972       $ 2,526        128.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

Net income

   $ 823       $ 28       $ 795        NM      $ 7,340      $ 1,132       $ 6,208        NM   

Less: Special items, net of tax (C)

     111         433         (322     NM        (2,862     834         (3,696     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

Net income, excluding special items

   $ 934       $ 461       $ 473        102.6      $ 4,478      $ 1,966       $ 2,512        127.8   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

Diluted earnings per share

   $ 2.24       $ 0.07       $ 2.17        NM      $ 19.47      $ 2.93       $ 16.54        NM   

Add back: Special items, net of tax

     0.30         1.12         (0.82     NM        (7.59     2.12         (9.71     NM   

Add back: Impact of dilution, net

     —           0.01         (0.01     NM        —          0.01         (0.01     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

Diluted earnings per share, excluding special items

   $ 2.54       $ 1.20       $ 1.34        111.7      $ 11.88      $ 5.06       $ 6.82        134.8   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 11

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL RECONCILIATION (Continued)

 

     Three Months Ended
December 31,
     %
Increase/
(Decrease)
    Year Ended
December 31,
     %
Increase/
(Decrease)
 
     2015      2014        2015      2014     

CASM Mainline Operations (cents)

                

Cost per available seat mile (CASM)

     12.37         13.68         (9.6     12.42         14.03         (11.5

Less: Special charges (C)

     0.24         0.34         NM        0.15         0.21         NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM, excluding special charges

     12.13         13.34         (9.1     12.27         13.82         (11.2

Less: Third-party business expenses

     0.16         0.12         33.3        0.13         0.25         (48.0
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM, excluding special charges and third-party business expenses

     11.97         13.22         (9.5     12.14         13.57         (10.5

Less: Fuel expense

     2.53         3.96         (36.1     2.87         4.44         (35.4
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses and fuel

     9.44         9.26         1.9        9.27         9.13         1.5   

Less: Profit sharing per available seat mile

     0.28         0.10         180.0        0.32         0.11         190.9   
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses, fuel, and profit sharing

     9.16         9.16         —          8.95         9.02         (0.8
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM Consolidated Operations (cents)

                

Cost per available seat mile (CASM)

     12.98         14.43         (10.0     13.08         14.85         (11.9

Less: Special charges (C)

     0.22         0.30         NM        0.13         0.18         NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM, excluding special charges

     12.76         14.13         (9.7     12.95         14.67         (11.7

Less: Third-party business expenses

     0.14         0.11         27.3        0.12         0.22         (45.5
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM, excluding special charges and third-party business expenses

     12.62         14.02         (10.0     12.83         14.45         (11.2

Less: Fuel expense

     2.64         4.20         (37.1     3.01         4.75         (36.6
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses and fuel

     9.98         9.82         1.6        9.82         9.70         1.2   

Less: Profit sharing per available seat mile

     0.25         0.09         177.8        0.28         0.09         211.1   
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses, fuel, and profit sharing

     9.73         9.73         —          9.54         9.61         (0.7
  

 

 

    

 

 

      

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 12

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

CAPITAL EXPENDITURES AND FREE CASH FLOW

 

Capital Expenditures (in millions)    Three Months Ended
December 31, 2015
    Year Ended
December 31, 2015
 

Capital expenditures – GAAP

   $ 763      $ 2,747   

Property and equipment acquired through the issuance of debt

     69        866   

Airport construction financing

     12        17   

Fully reimbursable projects

     (53     (124
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

Adjusted capital expenditures – Non-GAAP

   $ 791      $ 3,506   
  

 

 

   

 

 

 

 

Free Cash Flow (in millions)    Three Months Ended
December 31, 2015
     Year Ended
December 31, 2015
 

Net cash provided by operating activities

   $ 1,115       $ 5,992   

Less adjusted capital expenditures – Non-GAAP

     791         3,506   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

Free cash flow

   $ 324       $ 2,486   
  

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

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United Airlines Announces $4.5 Billion Full-Year 2015 Profit / Page 13

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC)

ROIC is a Non-GAAP financial measure that we believe provides useful supplemental information for management and investors by measuring the effectiveness of our operations’ use of invested capital to generate profits.

 

(in millions)    Twelve Months Ended
December 31, 2015
 

Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT)

  

Pre-tax income excluding special items (a)

   $ 4,498   

NOPAT adjustments (b)

     1,100   
  

 

 

 

NOPAT

   $ 5,598   
  

 

 

 

Effective tax rate

     0.4

Invested Capital (five-quarter average)

  

Total assets

  

Invested capital adjustments (c)

   $ 39,210   

Average Invested Capital

     12,507   
  

 

 

 
   $ 26,703   
  

 

 

 

Return on Invested Capital

  
  

 

 

 
     21.0
  

 

 

 
Notes:    Twelve Months Ended
December 31, 2015
 
  

(a) Non-GAAP Financial Reconciliation

  

Pre-tax income

   $ 4,219   

Add: Special items

     279   
  

 

 

 

Pre-tax income excluding special items

   $ 4,498   
  

 

 

 
  

 

(b) NOPAT adjustments include: adding back (net of tax shield) interest expense, the interest component of capitalized aircraft rent, and net interest on pension while removing interest tax expense.
(c) Invested capital adjustments include: adding back capital aircraft rent (at 7.0X) and deferred income taxes, less advance ticket sales, frequent flyer deferred revenue, tax valuation allowance, and other non-interest bearing liabilities.

# # #

 

LOGO

EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO    LOGO
Investor Update    Issue Date: January 21, 2016

This investor update provides guidance and certain forward-looking statements about United Continental Holdings, Inc. (the “Company” or “UAL”). The information in this investor update contains the financial and operational outlook for the Company for first-quarter and full-year 2016.

 

First-Quarter and Full-Year 2016 Outlook

  Estimated
1Q 2016
    Estimated
FY 2016
 

Consolidated Capacity Year-Over-Year Change Higher/(Lower)

    1.5     —          2.5     1.5     —          2.5

Pre-Tax Margin1

    8.0     —          10.0      

Revenue

       

Consolidated PRASM (¢/ASM)

    12.18        —          11.92         

Year-Over-Year Change Higher/(Lower)

    (6.0 %)      —          (8.0 %)       

Cargo and Other Revenue ($M)

  $ 1,200        —        $ 1,300         

Non-Fuel Operating Expense

           

Consolidated CASM Excluding Fuel, Profit Sharing & Third-Party Business Expenses1 (¢/ASM)

    10.18        —          10.28        9.59        —          9.68   

Year-Over-Year Change Higher/(Lower)

    0.5     —          1.5     0.5     —          1.5

Third-Party Business Expenses2 ($M)

  $ 75        —        $ 85      $ 310        —        $ 330   

Aircraft Rent ($M)

  $ 170        —        $ 175      $ 685        —        $ 695   

Depreciation and Amortization ($M)

  $ 475        —        $ 480      $ 1,910        —        $ 1,920   

Profit Sharing ($M)

  $ 95        —        $ 125         

Consolidated Fuel Expense

           

Fuel Consumption (Million Gallons)

      ~905            ~3,950     

Fuel Price Excluding Hedges (Price per Gallon)3

  $ 1.17        —        $ 1.22      $ 1.19        —        $ 1.24   

Operating Cash-Settled Hedge Loss (Price per Gallon)

    $ 0.16          $ 0.06     

Fuel Price Including Operating Cash-Settled Hedges (Price per Gallon)3, 4

  $ 1.33        —        $ 1.38      $ 1.25        —        $ 1.30   

Non-Operating Cash-Settled Hedge Loss (Price per Gallon)3,5

    $ 0.01          $ 0.00     

Fuel Price Including All Cash-Settled Hedges (Price per Gallon)3,6

  $ 1.34        —        $ 1.39      $ 1.25        —        $ 1.30   

Non-Operating Expense7 ($M)

  $ 130        —        $ 160      $ 525        —        $ 575   

Effective Income Tax Rate

      ~37         ~37  

Gross Capital Expenditures8 ($M)

  $ 650        —        $ 670      $ 2,700        —        $ 2,900   

Debt and Capital Lease Payments ($M)

    $ 260          $ 1,315     

Pension ($M)

           

Expense

          ~$ 175     

Cash contribution

          ~$ 400     

Diluted Share Count9 (M)

      364            364     

 

1. Excludes special charges, the nature and amount of which are not determinable at this time
2. Third-party business revenue associated with third-party business expenses are recorded in other revenue
3. Fuel price including taxes and fees
4. This price per gallon corresponds to fuel expense in the income statement
5. This price per gallon corresponds to the impact of non-operating hedges that appear in non-operating expense in the income statement
6. This price per gallon corresponds to the total economic cost of the Company’s fuel consumption including all cash-settled hedges but does not directly correspond to fuel expense in the income statement
7. The Company excludes the non-cash impact of fuel hedges from its non-operating expense guidance and Non-GAAP earnings
8. Capital expenditures include net purchase deposits and exclude fully reimbursable capital projects
9. Diluted share count is approximately equal to basic share count

Passenger Revenue: The Company expects the decline in first-quarter 2016 passenger revenue to be driven primarily by a strong U.S. dollar, lower surcharges, travel reductions from customers impacted by declining oil prices and softening domestic and international yields.

Non-Fuel Expense: The guidance provided in the table above excludes the impact of labor agreements pending ratification as of January 21, 2016. The costs associated with the ratification of the pilot and technician agreements would increase non-fuel unit cost by approximately 2.5 points in both the first-quarter and full-year 2016 versus the prior year.

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Fuel Expense: Based on the January 14, 2016 fuel forward curve, the Company expects a total first-quarter 2016 hedge loss of approximately $155 million, which is a combination of operating and non-operating cash-settled hedge loss in the table above and will be included in the Company’s first-quarter 2016 Non-GAAP earnings. The first-quarter 2016 hedge loss that is included in fuel expense is approximately $0.16 per gallon or approximately $145 million.

Non-Operating Expense: These estimates include cash-settled hedge losses of approximately $0.01 per gallon, or approximately $10 million, in the first quarter of 2016, based on the January 14, 2016 fuel forward curve.

Capital Expenditures: This guidance includes the impact of pre-delivery payments associated with the Company’s aircraft order of 40 new 737-700 aircraft, to be delivered starting mid-2017.

Taxes: The Company expects a tax rate of approximately 37% for the first-quarter and full-year 2016. However, there will be no material cash taxes as United’s net operating loss carryforwards of approximately $8 billion are projected to largely offset cash income taxes for the next several years.

Profit Sharing: For 2016, the Company will pay approximately 9.7% of total adjusted earnings as profit sharing to employees for adjusted earnings up to a 6.9% adjusted pre-tax margin and approximately 15.0% for any adjusted earnings above that amount. Adjusted earnings for the purposes of profit sharing are calculated as GAAP pre-tax earnings, excluding special items, profit sharing expense and share-based compensation program expense. These estimates are consistent with the current labor agreements and do not include any changes to profit sharing proposed in contracts currently up for ratification. Share-based compensation expense for the purposes of the profit sharing calculation is estimated to be $12 million through the first quarter of 2016.

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First-Quarter and Full-Year 2016 Capacity

 

     Estimated 1Q
2016
     Year-Over-Year %
Change
Higher/(Lower)
    Estimated FY 2016      Year-Over-Year %
Change
Higher/(Lower)
 

Capacity (Million ASMs)

                              

Mainline Capacity

                              

Domestic

     24,669        —           24,910         2.4     —           3.4               

Atlantic

     9,639        —           9,738         (2.4 %)      —           (1.4 %)                

Pacific

     9,778        —           9,877         (1.3 %)      —           (0.3 %)                

Latin America

     7,006        —           7,069         12.1     —           13.1               

Total Mainline Capacity

     51,092        —           51,594         1.9     —           2.9               

Regional

     7,035        —           7,107         (1.5 %)      —           (0.5 %)                

Consolidated Capacity

                              

Domestic

     31,374        —           31,684         1.5     —           2.5     138,299        —           139,669         1.0     —           2.0

International

     26,753        —           27,017         1.5     —           2.5     115,453        —           116,583         2.1     —           3.1

Total Consolidated Capacity

     58,127        —           58,701         1.5     —           2.5     253,752        —           256,252         1.5     —           2.5

Fuel Price Sensitivity

As of January 14, 2016, the Company had hedged 30% of its projected fuel requirements for first-quarter 2016 and 17% for full-year 2016. The Company uses a variety of hedges including collars and swaps on aircraft fuel and Brent crude oil. Below current price levels the company will participate in 85% and 98% of lower prices for first-quarter and full-year 2016, respectively.

The table below outlines the Company’s estimated cash hedge impacts at various price points based on the January 14, 2016 fuel forward curve, where Brent spot price was $31.03 per barrel and rest of year average forward price is $33.87 per barrel. With the current portfolio, hedge gains/losses are recognized in both Fuel Expense and Non-Operating Expense.

 

Fuel Scenarios*    Cash Hedge Impact    1Q16      2Q16      3Q16      4Q16  
          forecast      forecast      forecast      forecast  

+40%

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     0.36         0.38         0.41         0.42   
  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.14      (0.03      (0.01      (0.01
                                        

+30%

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     0.27         0.28         0.30         0.32   
  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.14      (0.04      (0.02      (0.02
                                        

+20%

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     0.18         0.19         0.20         0.21   
  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.15      (0.04      (0.03      (0.03
                                        

+10%

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     0.09         0.09         0.10         0.11   
  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.16      (0.04      (0.03      (0.03
                                        

Current

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00   

Forward Curve

  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.17      (0.04      (0.03      (0.03
                                        

(10%)

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     (0.09      (0.09      (0.10      (0.11
  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.18      (0.04      (0.03      (0.03
                                        

(20%)

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     (0.18      (0.19      (0.20      (0.21
  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.18      (0.04      (0.03      (0.03
                                        

(30%)

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     (0.27      (0.28      (0.30      (0.32
  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.19      (0.04      (0.03      (0.03
                                        

(40%)

  

Commodity Price Increase/(Decrease)** ($/gal)

 

     (0.36      (0.38      (0.41      (0.42
  

Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)

     (0.20      (0.04      (0.03      (0.03

 

* Projected fuel scenarios represent hypothetical fuel forward curves parallel to the baseline January 14, 2016 fuel forward curve and are meant to illustrate the behavior of our fuel hedge portfolio at different commodity price points, assuming equal magnitude change across all hedged commodities
** Change in United’s realized fuel price is not equal to the change in commodity prices due to timing and purchasing patterns

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Company Outlook

Fleet Plan

As of January 21, 2016, the Company’s fleet plan was as follows:

 

     YE 2015      YE 2016      FY D  

B747-400

     22         20         (2

B777-200/300

     74         75         1   

B787-8/9

     25         30         5   

B767-300/400

     51         51         —     

B757-200/300

     81         77         (4

B737-700/800/900

     310         324         14   

A319/A320

     152         161         9   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Mainline Aircraft

     715         738         23   
     YE 2015      YE 2016      FY D  

Q400

     13         —           (13

Q300

     5         5         —     

Q200

     16         16         —     

Embraer ERJ 145

     199         183         (16

Embraer ERJ 135

     5         5         —     

CRJ200

     50         50         —     

CRJ700

     115         90         (25

Embraer 170

     38         38         —     

Embraer E175

     83         123         40   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Regional Aircraft

     524         510         (14

GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations

UAL evaluates its financial performance utilizing various accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) and Non-GAAP financial measures, including net income/loss, net earnings/loss per share and CASM, among others. Non-GAAP financial measures are presented because they provide management and investors the ability to measure and monitor UAL’s performance on a consistent basis. CASM is a common metric used in the airline industry to measure an airline’s cost structure and efficiency. Pursuant to SEC Regulation G, UAL has included the following reconciliation of reported Non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. UAL believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited influence. UAL believes that adjusting for special charges is useful to investors because they are non-recurring charges not indicative of UAL’s ongoing performance. UAL also believes that excluding third-party business expenses, such as maintenance, ground handling and catering services for third parties, fuel sales and non-air mileage redemptions, provides more meaningful disclosure because these expenses are not directly related to UAL’s core business. UAL also believes excluding profit sharing allows investors to better understand and analyze our recurring cost performance and provides a more meaningful comparison of our core operating costs to the airline industry. In addition, UAL believes that excluding non-cash (gains)/losses on fuel derivative contracts from non-operating expense is useful because it allows investors to better understand the impact of settled hedges on a given period’s results.

 

    

Estimated 1Q

2016

    

Estimated FY

2016

 

Consolidated CASM Excluding Profit Sharing & Special Charges (a) (b)

     12.37         —           12.47         11.65         —           11.74   

Less: Third-Party Business Expenses

     0.13         —           0.13         0.12         —           0.12   
  

 

 

       

 

 

    

 

 

       

 

 

 

Consolidated CASM Excluding Profit Sharing, Third-Party Business Expenses & Special Charges (b)

     12.24         —           12.34         11.53         —           11.62   

Less: Fuel Expense (c)

     2.06         —           2.06         1.94         —           1.94   
  

 

 

       

 

 

    

 

 

       

 

 

 

Consolidated CASM Excluding Profit Sharing, Third-Party Business Expenses, Fuel & Special Charges (b)

     10.18         —           10.28         9.59         —           9.68   
    

Estimated 1Q

2016

    

Estimated FY

2016

 

Non-operating Expense ($M)

                 

Non-operating expense

   $ 125         —         $ 155       $ 530         —         $ 580   

Exclude: hedge program adjustments (d)

     (5      —           (5      5         —           5   

Exclude: other special items

     0         —           0         0         —           0   
  

 

 

       

 

 

    

 

 

       

 

 

 

Non-operating expense, adjusted (b)

   $ 130         —         $ 160       $ 525         —         $ 575   

 

(a) Operating expense per ASM – CASM excludes special charges and profit sharing, the impact of certain primarily non-cash impairment, severance and other similar accounting charges. While the Company anticipates that it will record such special charges throughout the year and may record profit sharing, at this time the Company is unable to provide an estimate of these charges with reasonable certainty.
(b) These financial measures provide management and investors the ability to measure and monitor the Company’s performance on a consistent basis.
(c) Both the cost and availability of fuel are subject to many economic and political factors and are therefore beyond the Company’s control.
(d) Hedge program adjustments consist of excluding MTM (gains) and losses from fuel derivative contracts settling in future periods and adding back prior period gains and losses on fuel contracts settled in the current period. The purpose of hedge program adjustments is to adjust GAAP fuel derivative contract (gains) / losses to a cash-settled amount.

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Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:

Certain statements included in this investor update are forward-looking and thus reflect our current expectations and beliefs with respect to certain current and future events and financial performance. Such forward-looking statements are and will be subject to many risks and uncertainties relating to our operations and business environment that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Words such as “expects,” “will,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Additionally, forward-looking statements include statements that do not relate solely to historical facts, such as statements which identify uncertainties or trends, discuss the possible future effects of current known trends or uncertainties or which indicate that the future effects of known trends or uncertainties cannot be predicted, guaranteed or assured. All forward-looking statements in this report are based upon information available to us on the date of this report. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to numerous factors including, without limitation, the following: our ability to comply with the terms of our various financing arrangements; the costs and availability of financing; our ability to maintain adequate liquidity; our ability to execute our operational plans, including optimizing our revenue; our ability to control our costs, including realizing benefits from our resource optimization efforts, cost reduction initiatives and fleet replacement programs; our ability to utilize our net operating losses; our ability to attract and retain customers; demand for transportation in the markets in which we operate; an outbreak of a disease that affects travel demand or travel behavior; demand for travel and the impact that global economic conditions have on customer travel patterns; excessive taxation and the inability to offset future taxable income; general economic conditions (including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, investment or credit market conditions, crude oil prices, costs of aircraft fuel and energy refining capacity in relevant markets); our ability to cost-effectively hedge against increases in the price of aircraft fuel; any potential realized or unrealized gains or losses related to fuel or currency hedging programs; the effects of any hostilities, act of war or terrorist attack; the ability of other air carriers with whom we have alliances or partnerships to provide the services contemplated by the respective arrangements with such carriers; the costs and availability of aviation and other insurance; industry consolidation or changes in airline alliances; competitive pressures on pricing and on demand; our capacity decisions and the capacity decisions of our competitors; U.S. or foreign governmental legislation, regulation and other actions (including open skies agreements and environmental regulations); the impact of regulatory, investigative and legal proceedings and legal compliance risks; the impact of any management changes; our CEO’s health prognosis and return from medical leave; labor costs; our ability to maintain satisfactory labor relations and the results of the collective bargaining agreement process with our union groups; any disruptions to operations due to any potential actions by our labor groups; weather conditions; and other risks and uncertainties set forth under Item 1A., Risk Factors, of UAL’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, as well as other risks and uncertainties set forth from time to time in the reports we file with the SEC.

For further questions, contact Investor Relations at (872) 825-8610 or investorrelations@united.com.

 

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