8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 24, 2013

 

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

UNITED AIRLINES, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Delaware   001-06033   36-2675207
Delaware   001-10323   74-2099724
(State or other jurisdiction   (Commission File Number)   (IRS Employer
of incorporation)     Identification Number)

 

233 S. Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL   60606
233 S. Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL   60606
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

(312) 997-8000

(312) 997-8000

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code

N/A

Continental Airlines, Inc. (n/k/a United Airlines, Inc.)

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 


Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 24, 2013, United Continental Holdings, Inc. (“UAL”), the holding company whose primary subsidiary is United Airlines, Inc. (“United,” and together with UAL, the “Company”), issued a press release announcing the financial results of the Company for third quarter 2013. The press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

On October 24, 2013, UAL will provide an investor update related to the financial and operational outlook for the Company for fourth quarter 2013 and other periods. A copy of the investor update is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.2, is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

Exhibit No.

  

Description

99.1*    Press Release issued by United Continental Holdings, Inc. dated October 24, 2013
99.2*    United Continental Holdings, Inc. Investor Update dated October 24, 2013

 

* Furnished herewith electronically.


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.
UNITED AIRLINES, INC.
By:   /s/ Chris Kenny
Name:   Chris Kenny
Title:   Vice President and Controller

Date: October 24, 2013


EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit No.

  

Description

99.1*    Press Release issued by United Continental Holdings, Inc. dated October 24, 2013
99.2*    Investor Update issued by United Continental Holdings, Inc. dated October 24, 2013

 

* Furnished herewith electronically.
EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

United Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit

UAL Reports $590 Million Third-Quarter 2013 Profit Excluding Special Charges;

$379 Million Profit Including Special Charges

CHICAGO, Oct. 24, 2013 – United Airlines (UAL) today reported third-quarter 2013 net income of $590 million, an increase of 13.5 percent year-over-year, or $1.51 per diluted share, excluding $211 million of special charges. Including special charges, UAL reported third-quarter 2013 net income of $379 million, or $0.98 per diluted share.

 

    UAL generated $10.2 billion of revenue in the third quarter of 2013.

 

    United’s consolidated passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM) increased 2.7 percent in the third quarter compared to the third quarter of 2012.

 

    Third-quarter consolidated unit costs (CASM), holding fuel rate and profit sharing constant and excluding special charges and third-party business expense, increased 3.6 percent year-over-year on a consolidated capacity (available seat miles) reduction of 1.1 percent. Third-quarter consolidated CASM increased 1.2 percent year-over-year.

 

    United’s third-quarter consolidated fuel efficiency (gallons per available seat mile) improved 1.1 percent year-over-year, due primarily to replacing older aircraft with highly efficient new Boeing 737-900ERs and Boeing 787 Dreamliners.

 

    UAL ended the third quarter with $6.7 billion in unrestricted liquidity.

“We have significantly improved our operations, customer service and product, and are now competitive on all those dimensions. I want to thank my co-workers as we work together to deliver on our promise of making United flyer friendly,” said Jeff Smisek, chairman, president and chief executive officer. “However, we are not satisfied with our financial performance, and are taking prompt actions to increase our revenue and operate more efficiently across the company.”

 

LOGO


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 2

 

Third-Quarter Revenue and Capacity

For the third quarter, total revenue was $10.2 billion, an increase of 3.2 percent compared to the same period in 2012. Third-quarter consolidated passenger revenue increased 1.6 percent year-over-year to $8.9 billion, on a consolidated capacity decrease of 1.1 percent year-over-year. Other revenue in the third quarter increased 25.0 percent year-over-year to $1.1 billion and third-quarter cargo revenue decreased 19.1 percent versus the third quarter of 2012 to $199 million.

Consolidated revenue passenger miles (RPMs) decreased 0.3 percent on a consolidated capacity decrease of 1.1 percent year-over-year, resulting in a consolidated load factor of 85.9 percent in the third quarter.

Third-quarter consolidated PRASM increased 2.7 percent compared to the same period in 2012. Consolidated yield for the third quarter increased 1.9 percent year-over-year.

“This quarter my co-workers consistently delivered solid operational performance, and our customer satisfaction scores continue to rise,” said Jim Compton, UAL’s vice chairman and chief revenue officer. “We are, however, disappointed by the pace of our revenue improvements, and we are taking numerous actions to improve our performance to more swiftly realize our full revenue potential.”

Third-quarter passenger revenue and period-to-period comparisons of related statistics for UAL’s mainline and regional operations are as follows:

 

     3Q 2013 Passenger
Revenue

(millions)
     Passenger
Revenue vs.

3Q 2012
    PRASM vs.
3Q 2012
    Yield vs.
3Q 2012
    Available Seat
Miles vs.
3Q 2012
 

Domestic

   $ 3,339         0.4     2.9     2.3     (2.4 %) 

Atlantic

     1,765         11.0     9.0     5.6     1.9

Pacific

     1,289         (11.0 %)      (9.4 %)      (8.4 %)      (1.7 %) 

Latin America

     632         0.6     0.5     1.2     0.2
  

 

 

          

International

     3,686         0.5     0.2     (0.7 %)      0.3

Mainline

     7,025         0.5     1.6     0.8     (1.1 %) 

Regional

     1,893         6.3     7.1     6.1     (0.8 %) 
  

 

 

          

Consolidated

   $ 8,918         1.6     2.7     1.9     (1.1 %) 

Third-Quarter Costs

Total operating expenses increased $11 million, or 0.1 percent, in the third quarter versus the same period in 2012. Excluding special charges, third-quarter total operating expenses increased $314 million, or 3.4 percent, year-over-year.

Third-quarter consolidated CASM increased 1.2 percent year-over-year. Third-quarter consolidated CASM, excluding special charges and third-party business expense, increased 2.9 percent compared to third-quarter 2012. Third-party business expense was $205 million in the third quarter of 2013.


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 3

 

In the third quarter, consolidated CASM, excluding special charges and third-party business expense and holding fuel rate and profit sharing constant, increased 3.6 percent compared to the third quarter of 2012.

“We are committed to operating more efficiently across all aspects of our business,” said John Rainey, UAL’s executive vice president and chief financial officer. “We continue to improve our balance sheet and to make return-driven investments in our business, both of which are critical to creating long-term economic value for our stakeholders.”

Liquidity and Cash Flow

UAL ended the third quarter with $6.7 billion in unrestricted liquidity, including $1.0 billion of undrawn commitments under its revolving credit facility. During the third quarter, UAL generated $237 million of operating cash flow. The company’s gross capital expenditures and purchase deposits for the quarter were $598 million, and the company made debt and capital lease principal payments of $253 million in the third quarter.

Third-Quarter 2013 Accomplishments

Operations, Co-workers and Customer Service

 

    United Airlines reported a third-quarter mainline on-time arrival rate (domestic and international) of 78.9 percent. The on-time arrival rate is based on flights arriving within 14 minutes of scheduled arrival time. United co-workers earned cash-incentive payments of $9 million for on-time performance during the third quarter.

 

    The company reached tentative agreements on new joint collective bargaining agreements with the International Association of Machinists (IAM) for the more than 28,000 fleet service, passenger service and storekeeper employees.

 

    United’s pilots established an integrated seniority list, and United announced it offered recall to nearly 600 pilots currently on furlough to address the airline’s future staffing needs.

 

    United neared completion of its comprehensive customer service training program for all customer-facing co-workers worldwide with more than 90 percent of mainline and United Express flight attendants, airport agents and reservation agents trained through the third quarter.

Network, Fleet and Sustainability

 

    In the third quarter, the company announced it is expanding its leading worldwide route network and will launch future nonstop service from San Francisco to Chengdu, China, the fourth-largest Chinese city, and from Chicago to Edinburgh, Scotland, beginning in June 2014. This quarter, United launched new nonstop service to St. Lucia, as well as additional nonstop service to Anchorage, Alaska; Austin, Texas; Traverse City, Mich.; and Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada. The company also announced it is adding three other cities to its network: Elmira, N.Y., Topeka, Kan.; and Sun Valley, Idaho, as well as additional service to Fort Myers, Fla.; Hayden, Colo.; Indianapolis; and State College, Pa.


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 4

 

    The company took delivery of seven new highly efficient aircraft, including six Boeing 737-900ERs and one Boeing 787 Dreamliner, and removed from service seven Boeing 757-200s.

 

    A United Boeing 737-800 aircraft retrofitted with the new Split Scimitar Winglet began test flights. United is the North American launch customer for the Next-Generation 737 advanced winglet that improves the efficiency of the company’s 737 fleet by approximately 2 percent while simultaneously reducing carbon emissions, and the company will begin installing the new winglets across its 737 fleet by year end.

 

    United was named the Eco-Aviation “Airline of the Year” Gold Winner by Air Transport World (ATW) magazine.

Product, Loyalty Program and Facilities

 

    United debuted its new brand campaign, featuring its iconic “Fly the Friendly Skies” tagline, reinterpreted for today’s travelers. The new campaign explains United’s commitment to being “user-friendly,” which to customers today means the combination of service, technology and product enhancements.

 

    The company continued outfitting aircraft with global satellite Wi-Fi across its entire mainline fleet, offering inflight connectivity on long-haul international flights. The airline now has more than 115 Wi-Fi-equipped aircraft and is outfitting about one aircraft per day with global satellite Wi-Fi.

 

    The airline expanded its offering of live television to more than 200 aircraft, offering customers more than 100 channels of live programming while in-flight. United operates more live television-equipped aircraft than any other airline in the world.

 

    United released refreshed applications for iPhone, Android and BlackBerry 10 that include streamlined user interfaces along with a new feature that enables customers to manage their travel in real time if a flight delay or cancellation should occur.

 

    United continued retrofitting its p.s. (Premium Service) transcontinental aircraft that fly from New York to Los Angeles and San Francisco. The airline already has retrofitted 12 of its 15 p.s. aircraft with the latest cabin interiors, premium-cabin flat-bed seats, and personal on-demand entertainment and Wi-Fi throughout the aircraft.

 

    United debuted its Choice Menu “Bistro on Board” featuring new fresh food menu options available for sale to Economy customers on flights longer than three-and-a-half hours within North America and to and from Central America. United is providing customers innovative selections made with high-quality ingredients that will change seasonally.


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 5

 

    United MileagePlus and Marriott Rewards® joined forces to provide their most loyal members with unprecedented travel benefits. Through the RewardsPlus program, United customers who are Premier Gold MileagePlus members or above can enjoy Marriott Gold Elite status and benefits. The program also offers Marriott Rewards Platinum Elite members MileagePlus Premier Silver status.

 

    The company teamed up with Mercedes-Benz USA to provide innovative new benefits exclusively to United’s most frequent flyers seeking a luxury driving experience. MileagePlus Premier members receive incentives and 25,000 bonus miles when purchasing or leasing certain new Mercedes-Benz vehicles. In addition, United and Mercedes partnered to offer United’s Global Services customers tarmac transfer service at the airline’s Chicago and Houston hubs.

 

    The company opened its new United Club lounge in Terminal 2 at San Diego International Airport, the third club to feature the airline’s new design concept.

About United

United Airlines and United Express operate an average of more than 5,300 flights a day to more than 360 airports across six continents. In 2012, United and United Express carried more passenger traffic than any other airline in the world and operated nearly two million flights carrying 140 million customers. United is investing in upgrading its onboard products and now offers more flat-bed seats in its premium cabins and more extra-legroom, economy-class seating than any airline in North America. In 2013, United became the first U.S.-based international carrier to offer satellite-based Wi-Fi on long-haul overseas routes. The airline also features DIRECTV® on more than 200 aircraft, offering customers more live television access than any other airline in the world. United operates nearly 700 mainline aircraft and has made large-scale investments in its fleet. In 2013, United continues to modernize its fleet by taking delivery of more than two dozen new Boeing aircraft. The company will have launched 14 new international and 19 new domestic routes, including the addition of seven new cities to its network, by the end of 2013. Business Traveler magazine awarded United Best Airline for North American Travel for 2012, and readers of Global Traveler magazine have voted United’s MileagePlus program the best frequent flyer program for nine consecutive years. According to the 4th annual Switchfly Reward Seat Availability Survey published by IdeaWorksCompany in May 2013, United has the most saver-style award-seat availability among the largest U.S. global airlines. Air Transport World named United as the Eco-Aviation Airline of the Year Gold Winner in 2013. United is a founding member of Star Alliance, which provides service to 195 countries via 28


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 6

 

member airlines. More than 85,000 United employees reside in every U.S. state and in countries around the world. For more information, visit united.com or follow United on Twitter and Facebook. The common stock of United’s parent, United Continental Holdings, Inc., is traded on the NYSE under the symbol UAL.

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Certain statements included in this release are forward-looking and thus reflect our current expectations and beliefs with respect to certain current and future events and financial performance. Such forward-looking statements are and will be subject to many risks and uncertainties relating to our operations and business environment that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Words such as “expects,” “will,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Additionally, forward-looking statements include statements that do not relate solely to historical facts, such as statements which identify uncertainties or trends, discuss the possible future effects of current known trends or uncertainties or which indicate that the future effects of known trends or uncertainties cannot be predicted, guaranteed or assured. All forward-looking statements in this report are based upon information available to us on the date of this report. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to numerous factors including, without limitation, the following: our ability to comply with the terms of our various financing arrangements; the costs and availability of financing; our ability to maintain adequate liquidity; our ability to execute our operational plans, including optimizing our revenue; our ability to control our costs, including realizing benefits from our resource optimization efforts, cost reduction initiatives and fleet replacement programs; our ability to utilize our net operating losses; our ability to attract and retain customers; demand for transportation in the markets in which we operate; an outbreak of a disease that affects travel demand or travel behavior; demand for travel and the impact that global economic conditions have on customer travel patterns; excessive taxation and the inability to offset future taxable income; general economic conditions (including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, investment or credit market conditions, crude oil prices, costs of aircraft fuel and energy refining capacity in relevant markets); our ability to cost-effectively hedge against increases in the price of aircraft fuel; any potential realized or unrealized gains or losses related to fuel or currency hedging programs; the effects of any hostilities, act of war or terrorist attack; the ability of other air carriers with whom we have alliances or partnerships to provide the services contemplated by the respective arrangements with such carriers; the costs and availability of aviation and other insurance; industry consolidation or changes in airline alliances; competitive pressures on pricing and on demand; our capacity decisions and the capacity decisions of our competitors; U.S. or foreign governmental legislation, regulation and other actions (including open skies agreements and environmental regulations); labor costs; our ability to maintain satisfactory labor relations and the results of the collective bargaining agreement process with our union groups; any disruptions to operations due to any potential actions by our labor groups; weather conditions; the possibility that expected merger synergies will not be realized or will not be realized within the expected time period; and other risks and uncertainties set forth under Item 1A, Risk Factors, of UAL’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, as well as other risks and uncertainties set forth from time to time in the reports we file with the SEC.

-tables attached-

-more-


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 7

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

STATEMENTS OF CONSOLIDATED OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED)

 

     Three Months Ended     %     Nine Months Ended     %  
     September 30,     Increase/     September 30,     Increase/  
(In millions, except per share data)    2013     2012     (Decrease)     2013     2012     (Decrease)  

Operating revenue:

            

Passenger:

            

Mainline

   $ 7,025      $ 6,993        0.5      $ 19,792      $ 19,891        (0.5

Regional

     1,893        1,781        6.3        5,353        5,159        3.8   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total passenger revenue

     8,918        8,774        1.6        25,145        25,050        0.4   

Cargo

     199        246        (19.1     662        775        (14.6

Other

     1,111        889        25.0        3,143        2,625        19.7   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total operating revenue

     10,228        9,909        3.2        28,950        28,450        1.8   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Operating expenses:

            

Aircraft fuel (A)

     3,262        3,406        (4.2     9,380        10,043        (6.6

Salaries and related costs

     2,209        2,038        8.4        6,511        5,959        9.3   

Regional capacity purchase (B)

     621        628        (1.1     1,837        1,887        (2.6

Landing fees and other rent

     540        504        7.1        1,544        1,476        4.6   

Aircraft maintenance materials and outside repairs

     472        469        0.6        1,390        1,308        6.3   

Depreciation and amortization

     435        379        14.8        1,268        1,137        11.5   

Distribution expenses

     377        356        5.9        1,052        1,038        1.3   

Aircraft rent

     231        245        (5.7     706        747        (5.5

Special charges (C)

     211        514        NM        355        884        NM   

Other operating expenses

     1,362        1,170        16.4        3,893        3,467        12.3   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total operating expenses

     9,720        9,709        0.1        27,936        27,946        —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Operating income

     508        200        154.0        1,014        504        101.2   

Nonoperating income (expense):

            

Interest expense

     (195     (202     (3.5     (590     (631     (6.5

Interest capitalized

     12        9        33.3        35        26        34.6   

Interest income

     5        4        25.0        16        16        —     

Miscellaneous, net

     52        4        NM        (48     (7     NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total nonoperating expense

     (126     (185     (31.9     (587     (596     (1.5
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Income (loss) before income taxes

     382        15        NM        427        (92     NM   

Income tax expense (benefit) (D)

     3        9        (66.7     (4     11        NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net Income (loss)

   $ 379      $ 6        NM      $ 431      $ (103     NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Earnings (loss) per share, basic

   $ 1.06      $ 0.02        NM      $ 1.25      $ (0.31     NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Earnings (loss) per share, diluted

   $ 0.98      $ 0.02        NM      $ 1.15      $ (0.31     NM   
  

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Weighted average shares, basic

     357        331        7.9        343        331        3.6   

Weighted average shares, diluted

     395        332        19.0        390        331        17.8   

NM Not meaningful


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 8

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NOTES (UNAUDITED)

 

(A) UAL’s results of operations include fuel expense for both mainline and regional operations.

 

     Three Months Ended     %     Nine Months Ended     %  
     September 30,     Increase/     September 30,     Increase/  
(In millions, except per gallon)    2013      2012     (Decrease)     2013     2012     (Decrease)  

Mainline fuel expense excluding hedge impacts

   $ 2,657       $ 2,733        (2.8   $ 7,604      $ 8,091        (6.0

Hedge gains (losses) reported in fuel expense (a)

     14         (38     NM        (4     (107     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Total mainline fuel expense

     2,643         2,771        (4.6     7,608        8,198        (7.2

Regional fuel expense

     619         635        (2.5     1,772        1,845        (4.0
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Consolidated fuel expense

     3,262         3,406        (4.2     9,380        10,043        (6.6

Cash-settled hedge gains (losses) not recorded in fuel expense (b)

     2         (1     NM        18        (1     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Fuel expense including all gains (losses) from settled hedges (c)

   $ 3,260       $ 3,407        (4.3   $ 9,362      $ 10,044        (6.8
  

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

Mainline fuel consumption (gallons)

     852         872        (2.3     2,427        2,511        (3.3

Mainline average aircraft fuel price per gallon excluding hedge gains (losses) recorded in fuel expense

   $ 3.12       $ 3.13        (0.3   $ 3.13      $ 3.22        (2.8

Mainline average aircraft fuel price per gallon

   $ 3.10       $ 3.18        (2.5   $ 3.13      $ 3.26        (4.0

Mainline average aircraft fuel price per gallon including all gains (losses) from settled hedges

   $ 3.10       $ 3.18        (2.5   $ 3.13      $ 3.27        (4.3

Regional fuel consumption (gallons)

     194         197        (1.5     559        560        (0.2

Regional average aircraft fuel price per gallon

   $ 3.19       $ 3.22        (0.9   $ 3.17      $ 3.29        (3.6

Consolidated consumption (gallons)

     1,046         1,069        (2.2     2,986        3,071        (2.8

Consolidated average aircraft fuel price per gallon excluding hedge gains (losses) recorded in fuel expense

   $ 3.13       $ 3.15        (0.6   $ 3.14      $ 3.24        (3.1

Consolidated average aircraft fuel price per gallon

   $ 3.12       $ 3.19        (2.2   $ 3.14      $ 3.27        (4.0

Consolidated average aircraft fuel price per gallon including all gains (losses) from settled hedges

   $ 3.12       $ 3.19        (2.2   $ 3.14      $ 3.27        (4.0

 

(a) Includes losses from settled hedges that were designated for hedge accounting. UAL allocates 100% of hedge accounting gains (losses) to mainline fuel expense.
(b) Includes ineffectiveness gains (losses) on cash-settled hedges and gains (losses) on cash-settled hedges not designated for hedge accounting. These amounts are recorded in Nonoperating income (expense): Miscellaneous, net.
(c) This figure does not include non-cash mark-to-market (“NCMTM”) gains, which are recorded in Nonoperating income (expense): Miscellaneous, net. NCMTM gains were $60 million and $13 million for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2013, and 2012 respectively, and $12 million and $9 million for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2013, and 2012 respectively.

 

(B) UAL has contractual relationships with various regional carriers to provide regional jet and turboprop service branded as United Express. Under these agreements, UAL pays the regional carriers or other third parties contractually agreed fees for crew expenses, maintenance expenses and other costs of operating these flights. These costs include aircraft rent of $160 million and $476 million for the three months and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2013, respectively, of which $108 million and $52 million is included in regional capacity purchase expense and aircraft rentals, respectively, for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2013, and $320 million and $156 million is included in regional capacity purchase expense and aircraft rentals, respectively, for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2013, in our Statements of Consolidated Operations.


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 9

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NOTES (UNAUDITED)

 

(C) Special charges include the following:

 

     Three Months Ended      Nine Months Ended  
     September 30,      September 30,  
(In millions)    2013      2012      2013      2012  

Labor agreement costs

   $ 127       $ 454       $ 127       $ 454   

Merger integration-related costs

     50         60         165         331   

Additional costs associated with the temporarily grounded Boeing 787 aircraft

     —           —           18         —     

Voluntary severance and benefits

     —           —           14         125   

(Gains) losses on sales of assets and other special items, net

     34         —           31         (26
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total special charges

     211         514         355         884   

Income tax benefit

     —           —           —           (2
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Special items, net of tax

   $ 211       $ 514       $ 355       $ 882   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

2013—Special charges

Labor agreement costs: On Sept. 26, 2013, the company announced that it had reached tentative agreements with respect to joint collective bargaining agreements with the International Association of Machinists (“IAM”) for the fleet service, passenger service and storekeeper workgroups. The agreements are subject to ratification by IAM members. The company recorded a $127 million special charge as a result. This expense is associated with lump-sum cash payments that would be made in conjunction with the ratification of the agreements. If ratified, the company currently expects to make the related lump-sum cash payments by early 2014.

Merger integration-related costs: Merger integration-related costs include compensation costs related to systems integration and training, branding activities, new uniforms, write-off or acceleration of depreciation on systems and facilities that are no longer used or planned to be used for significantly shorter periods, relocation for employees and severance primarily associated with administrative headcount reductions. 

Additional costs associated with the temporarily grounded Boeing 787 aircraft: During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2013, the company recorded $18 million associated with the temporary grounding of its Boeing 787 aircraft. The charges were comprised of aircraft depreciation expense and dedicated personnel costs that the company incurred while the aircraft were grounded. The aircraft returned to service in May 2013.

Voluntary severance and benefits: During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2013, the company recorded $14 million associated with a voluntary program offered by United in which flight attendants took an unpaid 13-month leave of absence. The flight attendants continue to receive medical benefits and other company benefits while on leave under this program. Approximately 1,300 flight attendants opted to participate in the program.

(Gains) losses on sales of assets and other special items, net: During the three months ended Sept. 30, 2013, the company adjusted its reserves for certain legal matters by $34 million due to recent potential adverse developments. Additionally, during the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2013, the company recorded a $5 million gain related to a contract termination and $2 million in losses on the sale of assets.

2012—Special charges

Labor agreement costs: On Aug. 3, 2012, the Company announced it had reached an agreement in principle with respect to a new joint collective bargaining agreement with the Air Line Pilots Association representing pilots at United and Continental. The Company recorded $454 million of expense in the third quarter associated with lump-sum cash payments that would be made in conjunction with the ratification of the contract and the completion of the integrated pilot seniority list. This charge also included costs associated with changes to existing pilot disability plans negotiated in connection with the agreement in principle. The lump sum payments are not in lieu of future pay increases and were accrued in the third quarter as a result of the payments becoming probable, primarily due to reaching the agreement in principle. The agreement was ratified in December 2012.

Merger integration-related costs: Includes compensation costs related to systems integration and training, costs to repaint aircraft and other branding activities, costs to write-off or accelerate depreciation on systems and facilities that are no longer used or planned to be used for significantly shorter periods, relocation costs for employees and severance primarily associated with administrative headcount reductions. In addition, on June 30, 2012, UAL became obligated under an indenture to issue to the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation, no later than Feb. 14, 2013, $62.5 million aggregate principal amount of 8% Contingent Senior Unsecured Notes. UAL recorded a liability of approximately $48 million for the fair value of that obligation. The company classified the liability as an integration-related cost since the financial results of UAL, excluding Continental’s results, would not have resulted in a financial triggering event under the 8% Notes indenture.

Voluntary severance and benefits: During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2012, the Company recorded $125 million of severance and benefits associated with three voluntary employee programs, respectively. During the first quarter of 2012, approximately 400 mechanics offered to retire early in exchange for a cash severance payment that was based on the number of years of service each employee had accumulated. The Company also offered a voluntary leave of absence program that approximately 1,800 flight attendants accepted, which allows for continued medical coverage during the leave of absence period. During the second quarter of 2012, as part of the recently amended collective bargaining agreement with the Association of Flight

  


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 10

 

Attendants, the Company offered a voluntary program for flight attendants at United to retire early in exchange for a cash severance payment. The payments are dependent on the number of years of service each employee has accumulated. Approximately 1,300 flight attendants accepted this program and the Company estimates the amount for this voluntary program to be approximately $76 million.

Gains on sales of assets and other special items, net: During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2012, the company sold nine aircraft and its interest in a crew hotel in Hawaii. The company also recorded an impairment charge on an intangible asset related to certain take-off and landing slots to reflect the discontinuance of one of the frequencies on an international route. The company also made adjustments to legal reserves.

 

(D) No federal income tax expense was recognized related to our pretax income for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2013 and 2012 and the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2013, due to the utilization of book net operating loss carry forwards for which no benefit has previously been recognized. We are required to provide a valuation allowance for our deferred tax assets in excess of deferred tax liabilities because UAL concluded that it is more likely than not that such deferred tax assets will ultimately not be realized. As a result, pre-tax losses for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2012 were not reduced by any tax benefits.


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 11

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

STATISTICS

 

     Three Months Ended     %
Increase/
(Decrease)
    Nine Months Ended     %
Increase/
(Decrease)
 
     September 30,       September 30,    
     2013     2012       2013     2012    

Mainline:

            

Passengers (thousands)

     24,103        25,050        (3.8     69,174        71,784        (3.6

Revenue passenger miles (millions)

     48,780        48,951        (0.3     136,047        137,861        (1.3

Available seat miles (millions)

     56,508        57,135        (1.1     161,337        165,954        (2.8

Cargo ton miles (millions)

     495        597        (17.1     1,614        1,859        (13.2

Passenger load factor:

            

Mainline

     86.3     85.7     0.6pts.        84.3     83.1     1.2pts.   

Domestic

     86.9     86.4     0.5pts.        86.0     85.1     0.9pts.   

International

     85.7     84.9     0.8pts.        82.6     81.0     1.6pts.   

Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)

     12.43        12.24        1.6        12.27        11.99        2.3   

Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents)

     14.40        14.29        0.8        14.55        14.43        0.8   

Average fare per passenger

   $ 291.46      $ 279.16        4.4      $ 286.12      $ 277.10        3.3   

Cost per available seat mile (CASM) (cents):

            

CASM (a)

     14.16        14.03        0.9        14.28        13.83        3.3   

CASM, excluding special charges (b)

     13.79        13.13        5.0        14.06        13.30        5.7   

CASM, excluding special charges and third-party business expenses (b)

     13.43        13.04        3.0        13.75        13.19        4.2   

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses and fuel (b)

     8.75        8.19        6.8        9.03        8.25        9.5   

CASM, holding fuel rate and profit sharing constant, excluding special charges and third-party business expenses (b)

     13.52        13.04        3.7        13.93        13.19        5.6   

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon excluding hedge gains (losses) recorded in fuel expense (c)

   $ 3.12      $ 3.13        (0.3   $ 3.13      $ 3.22        (2.8

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon (c)

   $ 3.10      $ 3.18        (2.5   $ 3.13      $ 3.26        (4.0

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon including all gains (losses) from settled hedges (c)

   $ 3.10      $ 3.18        (2.5   $ 3.13      $ 3.27        (4.3

Fuel gallons consumed (millions)

     852        872        (2.3     2,427        2,511        (3.3

Aircraft in fleet at end of period

     694        697        (0.4     694        697        (0.4

Average stage length (miles) (d)

     1,982        1,925        3.0        1,940        1,898        2.2   

Average daily utilization of each aircraft (hours)

     10:54        11:07        (1.9     10:35        10:53        (2.8

Regional:

            

Passengers (thousands)

     12,692        12,538        1.2        35,928        35,402        1.5   

Revenue passenger miles (millions)

     7,083        7,070        0.2        19,941        19,758        0.9   

Available seat miles (millions)

     8,532        8,599        (0.8     24,326        24,740        (1.7

Passenger load factor

     83.0     82.2     0.8pts.        82.0     79.9     2.1pts.   

Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)

     22.19        20.71        7.1        22.01        20.85        5.6   

Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents)

     26.73        25.19        6.1        26.84        26.11        2.8   

Aircraft in fleet at end of period

     572        541        5.7        572        541        5.7   

Average stage length (miles) (d)

     544        551        (1.3     541        542        (0.2


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 12

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

STATISTICS (Continued)

 

     Three Months Ended
September 30,
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
    Nine Months Ended
September 30,
    %
Increase/
(Decrease)
 
     2013     2012       2013     2012    

Consolidated (Mainline and Regional):

            

Passengers (thousands)

     36,795        37,588        (2.1     105,102        107,186        (1.9

Revenue passenger miles (millions)

     55,863        56,021        (0.3     155,988        157,619        (1.0

Available seat miles (millions)

     65,040        65,734        (1.1     185,663        190,694        (2.6

Passenger load factor

     85.9     85.2     0.7 pts.      84.0     82.7     1.3 pts. 

Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)

     13.71        13.35        2.7        13.54        13.14        3.0   

Total revenue per available seat miles (cents)

     15.73        15.07        4.4        15.59        14.92        4.5   

Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents)

     15.96        15.66        1.9        16.12        15.89        1.4   

CASM (a)

     14.94        14.77        1.2        15.05        14.65        2.7   

CASM, excluding special charges (b)

     14.62        13.99        4.5        14.86        14.19        4.7   

CASM, excluding special charges and third-party business expenses (b)

     14.31        13.90        2.9        14.59        14.10        3.5   

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses and fuel (b)

     9.29        8.72        6.5        9.54        8.83        8.0   

CASM, holding fuel rate and profit sharing constant, excluding special charges and third-party business expenses (b)

     14.40        13.90        3.6        14.80        14.10        5.0   

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon excluding hedge gains (losses) recorded in fuel expense (c)

   $ 3.13      $ 3.15        (0.6   $ 3.14      $ 3.24        (3.1

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon (c)

   $ 3.12      $ 3.19        (2.2   $ 3.14      $ 3.27        (4.0

Average aircraft fuel price per gallon including all gains (losses) from settled hedges (c)

   $ 3.12      $ 3.19        (2.2   $ 3.14      $ 3.27        (4.0

Fuel gallons consumed (millions)

     1,046        1,069        (2.2     2,986        3,071        (2.8

Average full-time equivalent employees (thousands)

     84.5        85.4        (1.1     84.7        84.6        0.1   

 

(a) Includes impact of special charges (See Note C).
(b) These financial measures provide management and investors the ability to monitor the company’s performance on a consistent basis.
(c) Fuel price per gallon includes aircraft fuel and related taxes.
(d) Average stage length equals the average distance a seat travels adjusted for size of aircraft (available seat miles/seats).


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 13

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL RECONCILIATION

UAL evaluates its financial performance utilizing various accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) and non-GAAP financial measures including, net income/loss, net earnings/loss per share and CASM, among others. CASM is a common metric used in the airline industry to measure an airline’s cost structure and efficiency. Pursuant to SEC Regulation G, UAL has included the following reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. UAL believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited influence. UAL also believes that adjusting for special charges is useful to investors because they are non-recurring charges not indicative of UAL’s ongoing performance. UAL also believes that excluding third-party business expenses, such as maintenance, ground handling and catering services for third parties, fuel sales and non-air mileage redemptions, provides more meaningful disclosure because these expenses are not directly related to UAL’s core business.

 

     Three Months Ended      $     %     Nine Months Ended     $     %  
     September 30,      Increase/     Increase/     September 30,     Increase/     Increase/  
(in millions)    2013      2012      (Decrease)     (Decrease)     2013      2012     (Decrease)     (Decrease)  

Operating expenses

   $ 9,720       $ 9,709       $ 11        0.1      $ 27,936       $ 27,946      $ (10     —     

Less: Special charges (C)

     211         514         (303     NM        355         884        (529     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

Operating expenses, excluding special charges

     9,509         9,195         314        3.4        27,581         27,062        519        1.9   

Less: Third-party business expenses

     205         55         150        272.7        496         180        316        175.6   

Less: Fuel expense

     3,262         3,406         (144     (4.2     9,380         10,043        (663     (6.6

Less: Profit sharing, including taxes

     120         106         14        13.2        162         160        2        1.3   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

Operating expenses, excluding fuel, profit sharing, special charges and third-party business expenses

   $ 5,922       $ 5,628       $ 294        5.2      $ 17,543       $ 16,679      $ 864        5.2   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net income (loss)

   $ 379       $ 6       $ 373        NM      $ 431       $ (103   $ 534        NM   

Less: Special charges, net (C)

     211         514         (303     NM        355         882        (527     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

Net income, excluding special charges

   $ 590       $ 520       $ 70        13.5      $ 786       $ 779      $ 7        0.9   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

Diluted earnings (loss) per share

   $ 0.98       $ 0.02       $ 0.96        NM      $ 1.15       $ (0.31   $ 1.46        NM   

Add back: Special charges, net of tax

     0.53         1.31         (0.78     NM        0.91         2.27        (1.36     NM   

Add back: Impact of dilution

     —           0.02         (0.02     NM        —           0.10        (0.10     NM   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

Diluted earnings per share, excluding special charges

   $ 1.51       $ 1.35       $ 0.16        11.9      $ 2.06       $ 2.06      $ 0.00        —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

     

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 14

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL RECONCILIATION (Continued)

 

    Three Months Ended
September 30,
   

%

Increase/

    Nine Months Ended
September 30,
   

%

Increase/

 
    2013     2012     (Decrease)     2013     2012     (Decrease)  

CASM Mainline Operations (cents)

           

Cost per available seat mile (CASM)

    14.16        14.03        0.9        14.28        13.83        3.3   

Less: Special charges (C)

    0.37        0.90        NM        0.22        0.53        NM   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, excluding special charges

    13.79        13.13        5.0        14.06        13.30        5.7   

Less: Third-party business expenses

    0.36        0.09        300.0        0.31        0.11        181.8   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, excluding special charges and third-party business expenses

    13.43        13.04        3.0        13.75        13.19        4.2   

Less: Fuel expense

    4.68        4.85        (3.5     4.72        4.94        (4.5
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses and fuel

    8.75        8.19        6.8        9.03        8.25        9.5   

Less: Profit sharing per available seat mile

    0.21        0.19        10.5        0.10        0.10        —     
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses, fuel, and profit sharing

    8.54        8.00        6.8        8.93        8.15        9.6   

Add: Profit sharing held constant at prior year expense per available seat mile

    0.19        0.19        —          0.10        0.10        —     

Add: Current year fuel cost at prior year fuel price per available seat mile

    4.79        —          NM        4.90        —          NM   

Add: Prior year fuel cost per available seat mile

    —          4.85        NM        —          4.94        NM   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, holding fuel rate and profit sharing constant and excluding special charges and third-party business expenses

    13.52        13.04        3.7        13.93        13.19        5.6   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM Consolidated Operations (cents)

           

Cost per available seat mile (CASM)

    14.94        14.77        1.2        15.05        14.65        2.7   

Less: Special charges (C)

    0.32        0.78        NM        0.19        0.46        NM   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, excluding special charges

    14.62        13.99        4.5        14.86        14.19        4.7   

Less: Third-party business expenses

    0.31        0.09        244.4        0.27        0.09        200.0   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, excluding special charges and third-party business expenses

    14.31        13.90        2.9        14.59        14.10        3.5   

Less: Fuel expense

    5.02        5.18        (3.1     5.05        5.27        (4.2
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses and fuel

    9.29        8.72        6.5        9.54        8.83        8.0   

Less: Profit sharing per available seat mile

    0.18        0.16        12.5        0.09        0.08        12.5   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses, fuel, and profit sharing

    9.11        8.56        6.4        9.45        8.75        8.0   

Add: Profit sharing held constant at prior year expense per available seat mile

    0.16        0.16        —          0.09        0.08        12.5   

Add: Current year fuel cost at prior year fuel price per available seat mile

    5.13        —          NM        5.26        —          NM   

Add: Prior year fuel cost per available seat mile

    —          5.18        NM        —          5.27        NM   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   

CASM, holding fuel rate and profit sharing constant and excluding special charges and third-party business expenses

    14.40        13.90        3.6        14.80        14.10        5.0   
 

 

 

   

 

 

     

 

 

   

 

 

   


UAL Announces Third-Quarter 2013 Profit / Page 15

 

UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS, INC.

RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC)

 

(in millions)    Twelve Months Ended
September 30, 2013
 

Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT)

  

Pre-tax income excluding special charges (a)

   $ 589   

Add: Interest expense (b)

     803   

Add: Interest component of capitalized aircraft rent (b)

     472   

Add: Net interest on pension (b)

     151   

Less: Adjusted income tax benefit

     7   
  

 

 

 

NOPAT

   $ 2,022   
  

 

 

 

Effective tax rate

     (1.2 %) 

Invested Capital (five-quarter average)

  

Total assets

   $ 37,421   

Add: Capitalized aircraft rent (@ 7.0x)

     6,845   

Less:

  

Advance ticket sales

     (4,153

Frequent flier deferred revenue

     (6,557

Deferred incomes taxes

     2,849   

Tax valuation allowance

     (4,407

Other non-interest bearing liabilities

     (7,103
  

 

 

 

Average Invested Capital (five-quarter average)

   $ 24,895   
  

 

 

 

Return on Invested Capital

     8.1
  

 

 

 

 

(a) Non-GAAP Financial Reconciliation

 

     Twelve Months Ended
September 30, 2013
 

Loss before income taxes

   $ (205

Add: Special charges

     794   
  

 

 

 

Pre-tax income excluding special charges

   $ 589   
  

 

 

 

 

(b) Net of tax shield

# # #

EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

 

LOGO

   LOGO
Investor Update    Issue Date: October 24, 2013

This investor update provides forward-looking information about United Continental Holdings, Inc. (the “Company” or “UAL”) for fourth quarter 2013 and other periods.

Capacity

The Company estimates its 2013 consolidated system available seat miles (ASMs) to decrease between 1.2% and 1.4% year-over-year. For the fourth quarter 2013, the Company estimates its consolidated ASMs to increase between 2.5% and 3.5% as compared to the same period in the prior year. The Company estimates its fourth-quarter 2013 consolidated domestic ASMs to increase between 2.5% and 3.5% and consolidated international ASMs to increase between 2.6% and 3.6% year-over-year.

Advance Booked Seat Factor (Percentage of Available Seats that are Sold)

Compared to the same period last year, for the next six weeks, mainline domestic advance booked seat factor is up 0.2 points, mainline international advance booked seat factor is down 0.7 points, mainline Atlantic advance booked seat factor is up 0.5 points, mainline Pacific advance booked seat factor is down 3.3 points and mainline Latin America advance booked seat factor is up 0.6 points. Regional advance booked seat factor is up 0.9 points.

Non-Fuel Expense Guidance

The Company expects 2013 consolidated cost per ASM (CASM), excluding profit sharing, fuel, third-party business expenses and special charges, to increase 6.0% to 6.5% year-over-year. For the fourth quarter 2013, the Company expects CASM, excluding profit sharing, fuel, third-party business expenses and special charges, to increase 0.5% to 1.5% year-over-year.

The Company expects to record approximately $215 million of third-party business expenses in the fourth quarter and $710 million for the full year. Corresponding third-party business revenue associated with third-party business activities is recorded in other revenue.

Fuel Expense

The Company estimates its consolidated fuel price, including the impact of cash-settled hedges, to be between $3.06 and $3.11 per gallon for the fourth quarter and between $3.10 and $3.15 per gallon for the full year based on the forward curve as of October 17, 2013.

Non-Operating Expense

The Company estimates non-operating expense to be between $150 million and $180 million for the fourth quarter and between $740 million and $770 million for the full year 2013. Based on the forward curve as of October 17, 2013, the Company estimates the impact of fuel derivatives would be a gain of $15 million for the fourth quarter and a gain of $45 million for the full year, which are included in the non-operating expense guidance above.

Profit Sharing and Stock-Based Compensation

The Company pays 15% of total GAAP pre-tax profits, excluding special items and stock compensation program expense, as profit sharing to employees when pre-tax profit, excluding special items, profit sharing expense and stock compensation program expense, exceeds $10 million. Stock compensation expense for the purposes of the profit sharing calculation is estimated to be $78 million for full year 2013.

Capital Expenditures and Debt and Capital Lease Payments

In the fourth quarter, the Company expects between $730 million and $750 million of gross capital expenditures, including purchase deposits. For the full year, the Company expects approximately $2.4 billion of gross capital expenditures, including purchase deposits.

The Company expects scheduled debt and capital lease payments and pre-payments to amount to $250 million for the fourth quarter and $2.3 billion for the full-year 2013.

Pension Expense and Contributions

The Company estimates its pension expense will be approximately $195 million for 2013. This amount excludes non-cash settlement charges related to lump-sum distributions. The Company has made $258 million of cash contributions to its tax-qualified defined benefit pension plans year-to-date.

Taxes

The Company currently expects to record minimal cash income taxes in 2013.

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LOGO

 

Company Outlook

Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2013 Operational Outlook

 

    Estimated 4Q 2013   Year-Over-Year
% Change
Higher/(Lower)
  Estimated FY 2013   Year-Over-Year
% Change
Higher/(Lower)

Capacity (Million ASMs)

       

Mainline Capacity

       

Domestic

  26,322 - 26,580   1.9% - 2.9%    

Atlantic

  11,100 - 11,206   5.3% - 6.3%    

Pacific

  9,546 - 9,640   1.5% - 2.5%    

Latin America

  4,569 - 4,615   (0.7%) - 0.3%    

Total Mainline Capacity

  51,537 - 52,041   2.3% - 3.3%    

Regional1

  8,094 - 8,173   3.9% - 4.9%    

Consolidated Capacity

       

Domestic

  34,142 - 34,476   2.5% - 3.5%   137,984 - 138,334   (1.5%) - (1.2%)

International

  25,489 - 25,738   2.6% - 3.6%   107,290 - 107,562   (1.4%) - (1.1%)

Total Consolidated Capacity

  59,631 - 60,214   2.5% - 3.5%   245,274 - 245,896   (1.4%) - (1.2%)

Traffic (Million RPMs)

       

Mainline Traffic

       

Domestic

       

Atlantic

   

Pacific

  Traffic guidance to be provided at a future date

Latin America

   

Total Mainline System Traffic

       

Regional System Traffic1

       

Consolidated System Traffic

       

Domestic System

       

International System

       

Total Consolidated System Traffic

       

Load Factor

       

Mainline Load Factor

       

Domestic

       

Atlantic

       

Pacific

       

Latin America

   

Total Mainline Load Factor

  Load factor guidance to be provided at a future date

Regional Load Factor1

   

Consolidated Load Factor

       

Domestic

       

International

       

Total Consolidated Load Factor

       

 

1. Regional results reflect flights operated under capacity purchase agreements and flights operated as part of our joint venture with Aer Lingus in 2012.

 

 

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LOGO

 

Company Outlook

Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2013 Financial Outlook

 

    Estimated 4Q
2013
  Year-Over-Year
% Change
Higher/(Lower)
  Estimated
FY 2013
  Year-Over-Year
% Change
Higher/(Lower)

Revenue (¢/ASM, except Cargo and Other Revenue)

       

Mainline Passenger Unit Revenue

       

Regional Passenger Unit Revenue

   

Consolidated Passenger Unit Revenue

  Revenue guidance to be provided at a future date

Cargo and Other Revenue ($B)

   

Operating Expense1 (¢/ASM)

       

Mainline Unit Cost Excluding Profit Sharing & Third-Party Business Expenses

  13.71 - 13.87   (2.3%) - (1.1%)   13.60 - 13.72   2.2% - 3.1%

Consolidated Unit Cost Excluding Profit Sharing & Third-Party Business Expenses

  14.48 - 14.64   (2.6%) - (1.5%)   14.44 - 14.57   1.6% - 2.5%

Non-Fuel Expense1 (¢/ASM)

       

Mainline Unit Cost Excluding Profit Sharing, Fuel & Third-Party Business Expenses

  9.13 - 9.22   1.0% - 2.0%   8.96 - 9.01   7.2% - 7.8%

Consolidated Unit Cost Excluding Profit Sharing, Fuel & Third-Party Business Expenses

  9.60 - 9.69   0.5% - 1.5%   9.47 - 9.51   6.0% - 6.5%

Third-Party Business Expenses ($M)

  $215     $710  

Select Expense Measures ($M)

       

Aircraft Rent

  $230     $940  

Depreciation and Amortization

  $430     $1,700  

Fuel Expense

       

Mainline Fuel Consumption (Million Gallons)

  775     3,200  

Consolidated Fuel Consumption (Million Gallons)

  955     3,940  

Consolidated Fuel Price Excluding Hedges (Price per Gallon)

  $3.07 - $3.12     $3.10 - $3.15  

Consolidated Fuel Price Including Cash-settled Hedges (Price per Gallon)

  $3.06 - $3.11     $3.10 - $3.15  

Non-Operating Expense ($M)

       

Non-Operating Expense (including impact of fuel derivatives2)

  $150 - $180     $740 - $770  

Estimated loss / (gain) on fuel derivatives2 (incl. in above)

  ($15)     ($45)  

Income Taxes

       

Income Tax Rate

  0%     0%  

Capital Expenditures ($M)

       

Gross Capital Expenditures incl. Purchase Deposits

  $730 - $750     $2,400  

Debt and Capital Lease Payments ($B)

  $0.25     $2.3  

 

1. Excludes special charges
2. Includes impact of fuel derivatives related to current and future quarters based on the October 17, 2013 forward fuel curve

 

 

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LOGO

 

Company Outlook

Fuel Hedges

As of October 17, 2013, the Company had hedged 45% of its projected fuel requirements for fourth quarter 2013. The Company uses a combination of swaps, three-ways and four-ways on heating oil, Brent crude oil, aircraft fuel and diesel fuel.

The table below provides a view of the economic impact of the hedge portfolio on the Company’s October – December 2013 fuel costs given significant moves (up to +/- 20%) in market prices from October 17, 2013 levels (Brent crude spot price of $109.11 per barrel).

October—December 2013 (in $ per gallon)

 

        

Change in Market

Fuel Prices (1)

   Decrease /(Increase) to
Unhedged Fuel Cost(2)
    Hedge Gain /
(Loss) (3)
    Net Decrease /
(Increase) to Fuel Cost
 

20%

     (0.58     0.15        (0.43

10%

     (0.29     0.10        (0.19

(10%)

     0.29        (0.04     0.25   

(20%)

     0.58        (0.13     0.45   

 

(1) Projected using hypothetical fuel curves parallel to the baseline October 17, 2013 curve.
(2) Based on estimated October – December 2013 consumption of 0.8 billion gallons excluding taxes and transportation.
(3) Cash gain or loss including premiums on existing hedges as of October 17, 2013.

Fuel Price Sensitivity

With the Company’s current portfolio, hedge gains/losses are recorded in both fuel expense and non-operating expense (cash settled and non-cash). The table below outlines the Company’s estimated cash hedge impacts at various price points relative to the baseline October 17, 2013 fuel forward curve, where Brent crude spot price was $109.11 per barrel.

 

Brent Fuel Scenarios*    Cash Hedge Impact    4Q13     1Q14     2Q14  
          forecast     forecast     forecast  

+$40 / Barrel

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 4.04      $ 4.14      $ 4.15   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      0.15        0.09        0.07   

+$30 / Barrel

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 3.81      $ 3.90      $ 3.91   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      0.14        0.09        0.07   

+$20 / Barrel

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 3.57      $ 3.66      $ 3.68   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      0.12        0.09        0.07   

+$10 / Barrel

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 3.33      $ 3.42      $ 3.44   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      0.07        0.05        0.03   

Current Price ($109.11/bbl)

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 3.09      $ 3.18      $ 3.20   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      0.01        (0.01     (0.01

($10) / Barrel

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 2.85      $ 2.95      $ 2.96   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      (0.02     (0.02     (0.02

($20) / Barrel

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 2.62      $ 2.71      $ 2.72   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      (0.07     (0.05     (0.05

($30) / Barrel

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 2.38      $ 2.47      $ 2.48   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      (0.15     (0.12     (0.11

($40) / Barrel

   Fuel Price Excluding Hedge** ($/gal)    $ 2.14      $ 2.23      $ 2.25   
   Hedge Gain/(Loss) ($/gal)      (0.23     (0.19     (0.16

 

* Projected fuel scenarios represent hypothetical fuel forward curves parallel to the baseline October 17, 2013 curve and are meant to illustrate the behavior of our fuel hedge portfolio at different commodity price points
** Fuel price per gallon excluding hedge impacts, but including taxes and transportation costs

 

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4


LOGO

 

Company Outlook

Fleet Plan

As of October 24, 2013, the Company’s fleet plan was as follows:

 

     Mainline Aircraft in Scheduled Service  
     YE 2012      1Q D     2Q D     3Q D     4Q D     YE2013      FY D  

B747-400

     23         —          —          —          —          23         —     

B777-200

     74         —          —          —          —          74         —     

B787-8

     5         1        —          1        1        8         3   

B767-200/300/400

     56         —          (5     —          —          51         (5

B757-200/300

     154         (2     (2     (7     (12     131         (23

B737-500/700/800/900

     238         2        —          4        10        254         16   

A319/A320

     152         —          —          —          —          152         —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Mainline Aircraft

     702         1        (7     (2     (1     693         (9

 

     Regional Aircraft in Scheduled Service  
     YE 2012      1Q D      2Q D      3Q D     4Q D      YE2013      FY D  

Q400

     16         5         5         2        —           28         12   

Q300

     5         —           —           —          —           5         —     

Q200

     16         —           —           —          —           16         —     

ERJ-145

     270         —           5         2        —           277         7   

ERJ-135

     7         2         —           —          —           9         2   

CRJ200

     75         —           1         (1     —           75         —     

CRJ700

     115         —           —           —          —           115         —     

EMB 120

     9         —           —           —          —           9         —     

EMB 170

     38         —           —           —          —           38         —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Regional Aircraft

     551         7         11         3        —           572         21   

Share Count

These share count charts are based upon several assumptions including market stock price and number of shares outstanding. The number of shares used in the actual earnings per share calculation will likely be different from those set forth below.

 

     4Q 2013  
   (Estimated)  
     Basic Share Count      Diluted Share Count      Interest Add-back  

Net Income

   (in millions)      (in millions)      (in $ millions)  

Less than or equal to $0

     361         361       $ —     

$1 million—$39 million

     361         361         —     

$40 million—$65 million

     361         373         1   

$66 million—$115 million

     361         385         3   

$116 million—$306 million

     361         390         5   

$307 million or greater

     361         395         8   
     Full Year 2013  
   (Estimated)  
     Basic Share Count      Diluted Share Count      Interest Add-back  

Net Income

   (in millions)      (in millions)      (in $ millions)  

Less than or equal to $0

     348         348       $ —     

$1 million—$153 million

     348         348         —     

$154 million—$255 million

     348         373         11   

$256 million—$455 million

     348         385         20   

$456 million—$1.215 billion

     348         390         25   

$1.216 billion or greater

     348         394         39   

 

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Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliations

UAL evaluates its financial performance utilizing various accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“GAAP”) and non-GAAP financial measures, including net income/loss, net earnings/loss per share and CASM, among others. Non-GAAP financial measures are presented because they provide management and investors the ability to measure and monitor UAL’s performance on a consistent basis. CASM is a common metric used in the airline industry to measure an airline’s cost structure and efficiency. Pursuant to SEC Regulation G, UAL has included the following reconciliation of reported non-GAAP financial measures to comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. UAL believes that excluding fuel costs from certain measures is useful to investors because it provides an additional measure of management’s performance excluding the effects of a significant cost item over which management has limited influence. UAL believes that adjusting for special charges is useful to investors because they are non-recurring charges not indicative of UAL’s ongoing performance. UAL also believes that excluding third-party business expenses, such as maintenance, ground handling and catering services for third parties, fuel sales and non-air mileage redemptions, provides more meaningful disclosure because these expenses are not directly related to UAL’s core business.

 

     Estimated
4Q 2013
     Estimated
FY 2013
 
     Low      High      Low      High  

Mainline Unit Cost (¢/ASM)

           

Mainline CASM Excluding Profit Sharing

     14.13         14.29         13.93         14.05   

Special Charges (a)

     —           —           —           —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Mainline CASM Excluding Profit Sharing & Special Charges (b)

     14.13         14.29         13.93         14.05   

Less: Third-Party Business Expenses

     0.42         0.42         0.33         0.33   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Mainline CASM Excluding Profit Sharing, Third-Party Business Expenses & Special Charges (b)

     13.71         13.87         13.60         13.72   

Less: Fuel Expense (c)

     4.58         4.65         4.64         4.71   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Mainline CASM Excluding Profit Sharing, Third-Party Business Expenses, Fuel & Special Charges (b)

     9.13         9.22         8.96         9.01   
     Low      High      Low      High  

Consolidated Unit Cost (¢/ASM)

           

Consolidated CASM Excluding Profit Sharing

     14.84         15.00         14.73         14.86   

Special Charges (a)

     —           —           —           —     
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Consolidated CASM Excluding Profit Sharing & Special Charges (b)

     14.84         15.00         14.73         14.86   

Less: Third-Party Business Expenses

     0.36         0.36         0.29         0.29   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Consolidated CASM Excluding Profit Sharing, Third-Party Business Expenses & Special Charges (b)

     14.48         14.64         14.44         14.57   

Less: Fuel Expense (c)

     4.88         4.95         4.97         5.06   
  

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Consolidated CASM Excluding Profit Sharing, Third-Party Business Expenses, Fuel & Special Charges (b)

     9.60         9.69         9.47         9.51   

 

(a) Operating expense per ASM – CASM excludes special charges, the impact of certain primarily non-cash impairment, severance and other similar accounting charges. While the Company anticipates that it will record such special charges throughout the year and may record profit sharing, at this time the Company is unable to provide an estimate of these charges with reasonable certainty.
(b) These financial measures provide management and investors the ability to measure and monitor the Company’s performance on a consistent basis.
(c) Both the cost and availability of fuel are subject to many economic and political factors and are therefore beyond the Company’s control.

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:

Certain statements included in this investor update are forward-looking and thus reflect our current expectations and beliefs with respect to certain current and future events and financial performance. Such forward-looking statements are and will be subject to many risks and uncertainties relating to our operations and business environment that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Words such as “expects,” “will,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Additionally, forward-looking statements include statements that do not relate solely to historical facts, such as statements which identify uncertainties or trends, discuss the possible future effects of current known trends or uncertainties or which indicate that the future effects of known trends or uncertainties cannot be predicted, guaranteed or assured. All forward-looking statements in this report are based upon information available to us on the date of this report. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to numerous factors including, without limitation, the following: our ability to comply with the terms of our various financing arrangements; the costs and availability of financing; our ability to maintain adequate liquidity; our ability to execute our operational plans, including optimizing our revenue; our ability to control our costs, including realizing benefits from our resource optimization efforts, cost reduction initiatives and fleet replacement programs; our ability to utilize our net operating losses; our ability to attract and retain customers; demand for transportation in the markets in which we operate; an outbreak of a disease that affects travel demand or travel behavior; demand for travel and the impact that global economic conditions have on customer travel patterns; excessive taxation and the inability to offset future taxable income; general economic conditions (including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, investment or credit market conditions, crude oil prices, costs of aircraft fuel and energy refining capacity in relevant markets); our ability to cost-effectively hedge against increases in the price of aircraft fuel; any potential realized or unrealized gains or losses related to fuel or currency hedging programs; the effects of any hostilities, act of war or terrorist attack; the ability of other air carriers with whom we have alliances or partnerships to provide the services contemplated by the respective arrangements with such carriers; the costs and availability of aviation and other insurance; industry consolidation or changes in airline alliances; competitive pressures on pricing and on demand; our capacity decisions and the capacity decisions of our competitors; U.S. or foreign governmental legislation, regulation and other actions (including open skies agreements and environmental regulations); labor costs; our ability to maintain satisfactory labor relations and the results of the collective bargaining agreement process with our union groups; any disruptions to operations due to any potential actions by our labor groups; weather conditions; the possibility that expected merger synergies will not be realized or will not be realized within the expected time period; and other risks and uncertainties set forth under Item 1A, Risk Factors, of UAL’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, as well as other risks and uncertainties set forth from time to time in the reports we file with the SEC.

For further questions, contact Investor Relations at (872) 825-8610 or investorrelations@united.com

 

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