UNITED STATES |
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION |
Washington, D.C. 20549 |
FORM 8-K |
CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT |
TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE |
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 16, 2008 |
CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC. |
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter) |
DELAWARE |
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) |
1-10323 |
74-2099724 |
(Commission File Number) |
(IRS Employer Identification No.) |
1600 Smith Street, Dept. HQSEO, Houston, Texas |
77002 |
(Address of Principal Executive Offices) |
(Zip Code) |
(713) 324-2950 |
(Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code) |
______________________________________ |
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report) |
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act |
|
(17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act |
|
(17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On October 16, 2008, Continental Airlines, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter of 2008. The press release contains certain non-GAAP financial information. The reconciliation of such non-GAAP financial information to GAAP financial measures is included in the press release and the schedules thereto. Further, the press release contains statements intended as "forward-looking statements," all of which are subject to the cautionary statement about forward-looking statements set forth therein. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
In accordance with SEC Release No. 33-8176, the information contained in such press release shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.
On October 16, 2008, the Company will provide an update for investors presenting information relating to its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2008, its outlook for the fourth quarter and full year 2008, and other information. The update is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits
99.1 |
Third Quarter Earnings Press Release dated October 16, 2008 |
|
99.2 |
Investor Update |
SIGNATURE |
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Continental Airlines, Inc. has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC. |
October 16, 2008 |
By /s/ Lori A. Gobillot
Lori A. Gobillot
Staff Vice President and Assistant General Counsel
|
EXHIBIT INDEX |
99.1 |
Third Quarter Earnings Press Release dated October 16, 2008 |
99.2 |
Investor Update |
EXHIBIT 99.1
News Release
Contact:
Corporate CommunicationsHouston: 713.324.5080
Email: corpcomm@coair.com
News archive: continental.com/company/news/ Address: P.O. Box 4607, Houston, TX 77210-4607
CONTINENTAL AIRLINES ANNOUNCES THIRD QUARTER LOSS
High fuel prices and Hurricane Ike hampered quarterly results; company modifies Boeing delivery schedule
HOUSTON, Oct. 16, 2008 - Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) today reported a third quarter 2008 net loss of $236 million ($2.14 diluted loss per share). Excluding $91 million of previously announced special items, Continental recorded a net loss of $145 million ($1.32 diluted loss per share).
High fuel prices continued to negatively impact results during the quarter. Gulf Coast jet fuel averaged $3.49 per gallon during the third quarter compared to $2.16 per gallon for the same period in 2007, with Gulf Coast jet fuel closing prices peaking at $4.21 per gallon during the quarter. Mainline fuel costs increased $606 million in the third quarter compared to the same period of 2007.
"My co-workers did a great job working through significant operational challenges this past quarter," said Larry Kellner, Continental's chairman and chief executive officer. "Despite several severe storms, including Hurricane Ike, affecting both our employees' personal lives and our operations, we worked together to deliver a superb product."
As previously reported, Continental estimates that the adverse impact of Hurricane Ike on operating results in the third quarter of 2008 was approximately $50 million.
Third Quarter Revenue and Capacity
Total revenue for the quarter was $4.2 billion, an increase of 8.8 percent ($336 million) over the same period in 2007. Passenger revenue for the quarter grew 7.1 percent ($249 million) compared to the third quarter of last year, and includes a $27 million increase in revenue related to a reduction in the company's frequent flyer liability.
"We had solid revenue performance in an exceedingly difficult operating environment," said Jeff Smisek, Continental's president and chief operating officer. "Despite four hurricanes and two tropical storms, our team took care of our customers and delivered on the revenue."
Consolidated revenue passenger miles (RPMs) for the quarter decreased 2.3 percent year-over-year on a slight decrease in capacity of 0.1 percent, resulting in a third quarter consolidated load factor of 82.0 percent, 1.8 points below the third quarter record set in 2007.
Consolidated yield for the quarter increased 9.6 percent year-over-year. Consolidated passenger revenue per available seat mile (RASM) for the quarter increased 7.3 percent year-over-year due to increased yields.
Mainline RPMs in the third quarter of 2008 decreased 2.5 percent compared to the third quarter 2007, on a capacity decrease of 0.9 percent. Mainline load factor for the quarter was 82.9 percent, down 1.4 points year-over-year. Mainline yield for the quarter increased 9.8 percent over the same period in 2007. As a result, third quarter 2008 mainline RASM was up 8.0 percent over the third quarter of 2007. The company's domestic mainline capacity for September 2008 was down 13.4 percent compared to September 2007 due to previously announced capacity cuts and Hurricane Ike.
Passenger revenue for the third quarter of 2008 and period-to-period comparisons of related statistics by geographic region for the company's mainline operations and regional operations are as follows:
|
|
Percentage Increase (Decrease) in |
||||||
Passenger |
|
|
||||||
Domestic |
$1,482 |
2.4 % |
6.8 % |
(4.2)% |
||||
Trans-Atlantic |
917 |
13.4 % |
6.0 % |
7.0 % |
||||
Latin America |
465 |
15.7 % |
14.9 % |
0.7 % |
||||
Pacific |
282 |
0.6 % |
8.6 % |
(7.4)% |
||||
Total Mainline |
$3,146 |
7.1 % |
8.0 % |
(0.9)% |
||||
Regional |
$ 614 |
7.2 % |
0.9 % |
6.2 % |
||||
Consolidated |
$3,760 |
7.1 % |
7.3 % |
(0.1)% |
Third Quarter Operational Accomplishments
During the quarter, Continental recorded a U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) on-time arrival rate of 77.0 percent and a systemwide mainline segment completion factor of 97.9 percent (99.2 percent excluding cancellations caused by Hurricane Ike). Severe weather adversely impacted the company's employees and operations throughout the quarter including hurricanes Dolly, Hanna, Gustav and Ike and tropical storms Edouard and Fay. Continental was forced to suspend operations at Houston, its largest hub, for two-and-a-half days in September due to Hurricane Ike.
Despite severe weather, Continental employees earned $6 million in cash incentives for monthly on-time performance during the quarter. Employees receive $65 when Continental's on-time performance finishes in the top three of the network carriers as reported by the DOT ($100 for placing first) or when the company's on-time performance exceeds 80 percent for the month.
In July, Continental filed an application with the DOT to join United, Lufthansa, Air Canada and certain other Star Alliance members in an antitrust immunized alliance. Approval by the DOT will enable Continental, United and the other immunized Star Alliance carriers to work closely together to deliver highly competitive international flight schedules, fares and service.
Continental unveiled new 180-degree lie-flat seats for the BusinessFirst cabin. Customers will begin seeing lie-flats seats on Continental's Boeing 777 and 757-200 aircraft that serve long-haul international routes in the fall of 2009, with installation on 12 of its 767-400 aircraft (which will also receive audio video on demand entertainment systems) beginning in 2010, and on its Boeing 787 fleet as the aircraft are delivered to Continental.
During the quarter, Continental announced that its daily nonstop flights between its New York hub at Newark Liberty International Airport and Shanghai, China will begin on March 25, 2009, subject to government approval.
In addition, the company announced a third daily nonstop flight between New York and London's Heathrow Airport, effective Oct. 25. On the same date, it will discontinue flights to London/Gatwick Airport from both New York and Houston. Continental will continue to operate two daily flights from Houston to Heathrow in addition to the three daily flights from Liberty to Heathrow. The carrier also announced new nonstop seasonal service between Houston and Rio de Janeiro beginning on Dec. 17.
Third Quarter Costs
Due to significantly higher jet fuel costs, Continental's mainline cost per available seat mile (CASM) increased 21.6 percent (down 2.8 percent holding fuel rate constant and excluding special charges) in the third quarter compared to the same period last year. Mainline fuel costs increased 67.7 percent ($606 million) in the third quarter compared to the same period of 2007. The total year-over-year impact of higher fuel costs for the third quarter was $736 million, including $130 million of increased fuel costs that were included as part of the company's regional capacity purchase cost, accounting for the majority of the company's increase in operating expenses compared to the third quarter of 2007.
"The Continental team did a great job containing costs within our control," said Zane Rowe, executive vice president and chief financial officer. "However, during the quarter, the high cost of fuel continued to be a challenge, outpacing strong revenue gains."
For the quarter, Continental recognized $63 million in fuel hedging losses. For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2008, the company recognized $78 million in fuel hedging gains.
Fleet Changes Improve Efficiency
Continental's young, fuel efficient fleet provides a natural hedge against rising jet fuel costs. The carrier is approximately 35 percent more fuel efficient per mainline revenue passenger mile than it was in 1997.
The company continued to improve fuel efficiency by adding modern, fuel efficient aircraft to its fleet and installing winglets on additional aircraft. The company took delivery of two new Boeing 737-900ER and three new Boeing 737-800 aircraft during the quarter and an additional 737-800 in October.
During the quarter, Continental installed winglets on nine of the company's 737-500s and three 737-900 aircraft, and now has winglets on over 250 of its mainline aircraft. All of the company's 737-700s, 800s, 900s and 757-200s have winglets, as do select aircraft from Continental's 737-300 and -500 series fleets. Winglets increase aerodynamic efficiency and decrease drag, reducing fuel consumption and emissions by up to five percent.
Rescheduled Aircraft Deliveries
In October, Continental rescheduled to 2010 two Boeing 777s originally scheduled for delivery in 2009. In addition, Continental reached an agreement in principle with Boeing to reschedule 16 narrowbody aircraft which were originally scheduled for delivery in 2009 and 2010. These aircraft have been rescheduled to deliver in 2011 and beyond. As a result of these changes, in 2009, Continental is scheduled to take delivery of 14 Boeing 737 aircraft and in 2010, to take delivery of 12 Boeing 737, two Boeing 777 and two Boeing 787 aircraft. As part of the agreement in principle, Continental arranged to have backstop financing available for all of the 14 remaining aircraft scheduled for delivery in 2009 (excluding any 2008 scheduled deliveries delayed pending resolution of the Boeing strike, all of which have committed financing). Continental has also agreed in principal to terms under which it would lease up to four additional 757-300 aircraft from Boeing Capital Corporation. Boeing ha s until Dec. 31, 2008, to decide to lease these aircraft to Continental. If these leases are entered into, Continental expects that the 757-300s would be placed in service between late 2009 and early 2010.
Other Matters
Continental ended the third quarter with approximately $2.9 billion in unrestricted cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments. This balance includes $125 million of student loan-related auction rate securities which have been reclassified from long-term to short-term investments. The company also has $130 million of student loan-related auction rate securities that remain classified as long-term investments.
Continental contributed $18 million to its defined benefit pension plans during the third quarter of 2008, bringing its year-to-date pension contributions to $102 million and satisfying the company's required minimum contributions for calendar year 2008.
Continental announced that approximately 90 percent of the 3,000 positions targeted for elimination as a result of capacity reductions were largely reduced through voluntary leaves, enhanced retirement windows, job sharing and other voluntary programs offered to co-workers. Approximately 300 management and clerical positions were eliminated through attrition and reductions-in-force.
Corporate Background
Continental Airlines is the world's fifth largest airline. Continental, together with Continental Express and Continental Connection, has more than 2,500 daily departures throughout the Americas, Europe and Asia, serving 134 domestic and 131 international destinations. More than 675 additional points are served via alliance partners. With more than 43,000 employees, Continental has hubs serving New York, Houston, Cleveland and Guam, and together with Continental Express, carries approximately 69 million passengers per year. Continental consistently earns awards and critical acclaim for both its operation and its corporate culture. For more company information, visit continental.com.
Continental Airlines will conduct a regular quarterly telephone briefing today to discuss these results and the company's financial and operating outlook with the financial community and news media at 9:30 a.m. CT/10:30 a.m. ET. To listen to a live broadcast of this briefing, go to continental.com/About Continental /Investor Relations.
This press release contains forward-looking statements that are not limited to historical facts, but reflect the company's current beliefs, expectations or intentions regarding future events. All forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. For examples of such risks and uncertainties, please see the risk factors set forth in the company's 2007 Form 10-K and its other securities filings, including any amendments thereto, which identify important matters such as the consequences of the company's high leverage, the significant cost of aircraft fuel, its transition to a new global alliance, delays in scheduled aircraft deliveries, its high labor and pension costs, service interruptions at one of its hub airports, disruptions to the operations of its regional operators, disruptions in its computer systems, and industry conditions, including the airline pricing environme nt, industry capacity decisions, industry consolidation, terrorist attacks, regulatory matters, excessive taxation, the availability and cost of insurance, public health threats, an economic downturn in the U.S. and global economies and the seasonal nature of the airline business. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this press release, except as required by applicable law.
-tables attached-
CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
(In millions, except per share data) (Unaudited)
Three Months |
% |
Nine Months |
% |
|||||||||
2008 |
2007 |
2008 |
2007 |
|||||||||
Operating Revenue: |
||||||||||||
Passenger (excluding fees and taxes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Cargo |
129 |
112 |
15.2 % |
383 |
328 |
16.8 % |
||||||
Other, net |
267 |
197 |
35.5 % |
755 |
579 |
30.4 % |
||||||
4,156 |
3,820 |
8.8 % |
11,771 |
10,709 |
9.9 % |
|||||||
Operating Expenses: |
||||||||||||
Aircraft fuel and related taxes |
1,501 |
895 |
67.7 % |
3,912 |
2,399 |
63.1 % |
||||||
Wages, salaries and related costs |
765 |
836 |
(8.5)% |
2,197 |
2,404 |
(8.6)% |
||||||
Regional capacity purchase, net |
553 |
446 |
24.0 % |
1,648 |
1,319 |
24.9 % |
||||||
Aircraft rentals |
244 |
249 |
(2.0)% |
736 |
745 |
(1.2)% |
||||||
Landing fees and other rentals |
225 |
209 |
7.7 % |
643 |
592 |
8.6 % |
||||||
Distribution costs |
182 |
171 |
6.4 % |
558 |
508 |
9.8 % |
||||||
Maintenance, materials and repairs |
152 |
166 |
(8.4)% |
478 |
479 |
(0.2)% |
||||||
Depreciation and amortization |
112 |
106 |
5.7 % |
327 |
306 |
6.9 % |
||||||
Passenger services |
113 |
105 |
7.6 % |
315 |
294 |
7.1 % |
||||||
Special charges (A) |
91 |
12 |
NM |
141 |
30 |
NM |
||||||
Other |
370 |
345 |
7.2 % |
1,105 |
1,027 |
7.6 % |
||||||
4,308 |
3,540 |
21.7 % |
12,060 |
10,103 |
19.4 % |
|||||||
Operating Income (Loss) |
(152 ) |
280 |
NM |
(289 ) |
606 |
NM |
||||||
Nonoperating Income (Expense): |
||||||||||||
Interest expense |
(93) |
(96) |
(3.1)% |
(271) |
(289) |
(6.2)% |
||||||
Interest capitalized |
8 |
8 |
- |
25 |
19 |
31.6 % |
||||||
Interest income |
16 |
44 |
(63.6)% |
56 |
121 |
(53.7)% |
||||||
Income from other companies |
2 |
3 |
(33.3)% |
12 |
13 |
(7.7)% |
||||||
Gain on sale of investments (A) |
- |
- |
- |
78 |
7 |
NM |
||||||
Other, net (B) |
(29 ) |
2 |
NM |
(30 ) |
18 |
NM |
||||||
(96 ) |
(39 ) |
NM |
(130 ) |
(111 ) |
17.1 % |
|||||||
Income (Loss) before Income Taxes |
(248) |
241 |
NM |
(419) |
495 |
NM |
||||||
Income Tax Benefit (Expense) (C) |
12 |
- |
NM |
100 |
(4) |
NM |
||||||
Net Income (Loss) |
$ (236) |
$ 241 |
NM |
$ (319) |
$ 491 |
NM |
||||||
|
|
|||||||||||
Earnings (Loss) per Share: |
||||||||||||
Basic |
$(2.14) |
$ 2.47 |
NM |
$ (3.11) |
$ 5.08 |
NM |
||||||
Diluted |
$(2.14) |
$ 2.15 |
NM |
$ (3.11) |
$ 4.42 |
NM |
||||||
Shares used for Computation: |
||||||||||||
Basic |
110 |
98 |
12.2 % |
103 |
97 |
6.2 % |
||||||
Diluted |
110 |
114 |
(3.5)% |
103 |
115 |
(10.4)% |
||||||
millions):
Three Months |
Year Ended |
|||
2008 |
2007 |
2008 |
2007 |
|
Severance |
$ 33 |
$ - |
$ 33 |
$ - |
Aircraft related charges and gains (losses) on sales of aircraft |
12 |
- |
45 |
6 |
Unused facilities |
11 |
- |
14 |
- |
Reimbursement to ExpressJet of costs related to capacity reductions |
9 |
- |
9 |
- |
Route impairment and other |
18 |
- |
32 |
- |
Pension settlement charges |
8 |
12 |
8 |
24 |
Special charges |
$ 91 |
$ 12 |
$ 141 |
$ 30 |
Gain on sale of Copa Holdings, S.A. |
$ - |
$ - |
$ 78 |
$ - |
Gain on sale of ExpressJet Holdings, Inc. |
- |
- |
- |
7 |
Gain on sale of investments |
$ - |
$ - |
$ 78 |
$ 7 |
CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
STATISTICS
Three Months |
% |
Nine Months |
% |
||||||
2008 |
2007 |
2008 |
2007 |
||||||
Mainline Operations: |
|||||||||
Passengers (thousands) |
12,518 |
13,286 |
(5.8)% |
37,714 |
38,649 |
(2.4)% |
|||
Revenue passenger miles (millions) |
22,318 |
22,883 |
(2.5)% |
64,258 |
64,038 |
0.3 % |
|||
Available seat miles (millions) |
26,914 |
27,153 |
(0.9)% |
79,124 |
77,691 |
1.8 % |
|||
Cargo ton miles (millions) |
245 |
250 |
(2.0)% |
769 |
757 |
1.6 % |
|||
Passenger load factor: |
|||||||||
Mainline |
82.9% |
84.3% |
(1.4) pts. |
81.2% |
82.4% |
(1.2) pts. |
|||
Domestic |
83.9% |
85.9% |
(2.0) pts. |
83.5% |
84.4% |
(0.9) pts. |
|||
International |
82.0% |
82.5% |
(0.5) pts. |
78.9% |
80.3% |
(1.4) pts. |
|||
Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents) |
11.69 |
10.82 |
8.0 % |
11.13 |
10.49 |
6.1 % |
|||
Total revenue per available seat mile (cents) |
13.07 |
11.93 |
9.6 % |
12.51 |
11.66 |
7.3 % |
|||
Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents) |
14.10 |
12.84 |
9.8 % |
13.71 |
12.73 |
7.7 % |
|||
Cost per available seat mile (CASM) (cents) (A) |
13.19 |
10.85 |
21.6 % |
12.49 |
10.75 |
16.2 % |
|||
Special charges per available seat mile (cents) |
0.30 |
0.05 |
NM |
0.15 |
0.04 |
NM |
|||
CASM, holding fuel rate constant (cents) (A) |
10.80 |
10.85 |
(0.5)% |
10.57 |
10.75 |
(1.7)% |
|||
Average price per gallon of fuel, including |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Fuel gallons consumed (millions) |
389 |
406 |
(4.2)% |
1,159 |
1,161 |
(0.2)% |
|||
Actual aircraft in fleet at end of period (B) |
351 |
368 |
4.6 % |
351 |
368 |
4.6 % |
|||
Average length of aircraft flight (miles) |
1,533 |
1,488 |
3.0 % |
1,496 |
1,452 |
3.0 % |
|||
Average daily utilization of each aircraft (hours) |
11:21 |
11:52 |
(4.3)% |
11:22 |
11:38 |
(2.3)% |
|||
Regional Operations: (C) |
|||||||||
Passengers (thousands) |
4,590 |
4,615 |
(0.5)% |
13,795 |
13,549 |
1.8 % |
|||
Revenue passenger miles (millions) |
2,518 |
2,539 |
(0.8)% |
7,604 |
7,457 |
2.0 % |
|||
Available seat miles (millions) |
3,390 |
3,193 |
6.2 % |
9,938 |
9,495 |
4.7 % |
|||
Passenger load factor |
74.3% |
79.5% |
(5.2) pts. |
76.5% |
78.5% |
(2.0) pts. |
|||
Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents) |
18.12 |
17.95 |
0.9 % |
18.35 |
17.37 |
5.6 % |
|||
Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents) |
24.39 |
22.57 |
8.1 % |
23.98 |
22.11 |
8.5 % |
|||
Actual aircraft in fleet at end of period (D) |
279 |
263 |
6.1 % |
279 |
263 |
6.1 % |
|||
Consolidated Operations (Mainline and Regional): |
|||||||||
Passengers (thousands) |
17,108 |
17,901 |
(4.4)% |
51,509 |
52,198 |
(1.3)% |
|||
Revenue passenger miles (millions) |
24,836 |
25,422 |
(2.3)% |
71,862 |
71,495 |
0.5 % |
|||
Available seat miles (millions) |
30,304 |
30,346 |
(0.1)% |
89,062 |
87,186 |
2.2 % |
|||
Passenger load factor |
82.0% |
83.8% |
(1.8) pts. |
80.7% |
82.0% |
(1.3) pts. |
|||
Passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents) |
12.41 |
11.57 |
7.3 % |
11.94 |
11.24 |
6.2 % |
|||
Average yield per revenue passenger mile (cents) |
15.14 |
13.81 |
9.6 % |
14.80 |
13.71 |
8.0 % |
CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
Three Months |
||
Net Income (Loss) (in millions) |
||
Net income (loss) |
$(236) |
|
Special items: |
||
Special charges, net of tax of $0 |
91 |
|
Net loss, excluding special items (A) |
$(145) |
Three Months |
||
Earnings (Loss) per Share |
||
Diluted earnings (loss) per share |
$(2.14) |
|
Special items: |
||
Special charges, net of tax of $0 |
0.82 |
|
Diluted loss per share, excluding special items (A) |
$(1.32) |
Three Months |
% |
Nine Months |
% |
||||
2008 |
2007 |
2008 |
2007 |
||||
CASM Mainline Operations (cents) |
|||||||
Cost per available seat mile (CASM) |
$13.19 |
$10.85 |
21.6 % |
$12.49 |
$10.75 |
16.2 % |
|
Less: Current year fuel cost per available |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Add: Current year fuel cost at prior year |
|
|
NM |
|
|
NM |
|
CASM, holding fuel rate constant (A) |
10.80 |
10.85 |
(0.5)% |
10.57 |
10.75 |
(1.7)% |
|
Less: Special charges |
(0.30 ) |
(0.05 ) |
NM |
(0.15 ) |
(0.04 ) |
NM |
|
CASM, holding fuel rate constant and |
|
|
|
|
|
|
###
Exhibit 99.2 |
Investor Update |
Issue Date: October 16, 2008 |
|
2008 Estimate |
|
4th Qtr.(E) |
||
Mainline |
|
|
For the full year 2009, Continental expects its mainline capacity to be down between 1% to 3% yoy, with its mainline domestic capacity down 4% to 6% yoy.
Load Factor |
2008 Estimate |
|
4th Qtr.(E) |
||
Domestic |
82 - 83 % |
Continental's month-to-date consolidated load factor is updated daily and can be found on continental.com on the Investor Relations page under the About Continental menu.
Third Quarter 2008 Domestic Performance on a hub by hub basis
Continental's third quarter 2008 consolidated domestic capacity at its New York Liberty hub was down 0.7%, with traffic down 4.4%, resulting in a load factor decrease of 3.1 pts. Transcon capacity, which is a subset of New York Liberty capacity, was down 2.1% yoy in the third quarter while traffic was down 0.7%, resulting in a load factor increase of 1.3 pts. Consolidated domestic capacity at its Houston hub was down 3.9% yoy, with traffic down 6.7%, resulting in a load factor decrease of 2.5 pts. Consolidated domestic capacity at its Cleveland hub was up 3.0% yoy, with traffic down 1.5%, resulting in a load factor decrease of 3.6 pts.
Pension Expense and Contributions
Year-to-date, the Company has contributed $102 million to its defined benefit pension plans, satisfying the Company's minimum required contributions during calendar year 2008. Given the current market conditions, the Company does not plan to make additional contributions this year.
Continental estimates that its non-cash pension expense will be approximately $102 million for 2008, which includes non-cash settlement charges related to lump sum distributions from the pilot's frozen defined benefit plan for the nine month's ending September 30, 2008. Settlement charges are also expected for the fourth quarter 2008, but the Company is not able at this time to estimate the amount of these charges.
Due to the significant decline in the aggregate value of the assets held by the trust for its defined benefit pension plans since December 2007, the Company now estimates that its minimum funding requirements with respect to its defined benefit pension plans will be greater than what it had previously disclosed. Based on recent performance, the Company now estimates that its minimum funding requirements for 2009 will be approximately $110 million. This amount represents the Company's estimate of the minimum funding requirements as determined by government regulations, and is subject to change based on numerous assumptions, including the performance of the assets in the plans. See "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" in Part II, Item 7 of the Company's 2007 Form 10-K for a discussion of its assumptions regarding its pension plans.
Mainline Operating Statistics |
2008 Estimate (cents) |
|
4th Qtr.(E) |
||
CASM |
12.43 - 12.48 |
Consolidated Operating Statistics |
2008 Estimate (cents) |
|
4th Qtr.(E) |
||
CASM |
13.42 - 13.47 |
The Company anticipates that it will record additional special charges in the fourth quarter of 2008 and beyond in conjunction with the previously announced capacity reductions for future costs including future lease costs on aircraft that are permanently grounded. The Company is not able at this time to estimate the amount and timing of these charges.
Stock Based Compensation
For the third quarter 2008 Continental recorded $2 million in stock option expense and expects to record approximately $1 million for the fourth quarter of 2008.
Continental has granted profit based restricted stock unit ("RSU") awards pursuant to its Long-Term Incentive and RSU Program. Expense for these awards is recognized ratably over the required service period, with changes in the price of the Company's common stock and the payment percentage (which is tied to varying levels of cumulative profit sharing), resulting in a corresponding increase or decrease in "Wages, Salaries, and Related Costs" in the Company's consolidated statements of operations. The closing stock price of $16.68 on September 30, 2008 was used in estimating the expense impact of the awards for the Company's 2008 cost estimates included herein. Based on the Company's current assumptions regarding payment percentages and the cumulative profit sharing targets to be achieved pursuant to the awards, the Company estimates that a $1 increase or decrease in the price of its common stock from September 30, 2008 will result in an increase or decrease of approximately $3 million in Wages, S
alaries, and Related Costs attributable to the awards to be recognized in the fourth quarter 2008. For more information regarding these awards, including performance periods and how the Company accrues for the awards, please see the Company's 2007 Form 10-K.
Fuel Gallons Consumed |
2008 Estimate |
|
4th Qtr.(E) |
||
Mainline |
339 Million |
|
Mainline Fuel Price per Gallon (including fuel taxes and impact of hedges) |
$3.10 |
Fuel Hedges - As of October 15, 2008
Maximum Price |
Minimum Price |
|||||||
% of |
Weighted Average Price (per gallon) |
% of Consumption |
Weighted |
|||||
Fourth Quarter 2008 |
||||||||
WTI crude oil collars |
30% |
$3.43 |
30% |
$2.81 |
||||
WTI crude oil call options |
22 |
3.21 |
N/A |
N/A |
||||
Heating oil collars |
4 |
3.96 |
4 |
3.62 |
||||
Total |
56 % |
34 % |
||||||
2009 |
||||||||
WTI crude oil collars |
14% |
$3.39 |
14% |
$2.53 |
||||
WTI crude oil call options |
4 |
2.87 |
N/A |
N/A |
||||
Total |
18 % |
14 % |
For the un-hedged portion of its consolidated fuel requirements for 2008, the Company is assuming an average cost of jet fuel (including fuel taxes) of $2.67 for the fourth quarter.
Selected Expense Amounts |
2008 Estimated Amounts ($Millions) |
|
4th Qtr.(E) |
||
Aircraft Rent |
$239 |
*Net Interest Expense includes interest expense, capitalized interest and interest income.
Continental Airlines, Inc. Tax Computation
The Company's ability to record a tax benefit on net losses is limited by its net deferred tax position. During the first three quarters of 2008, the Company recorded the maximum available deferred tax benefit permitted by its opening net deferred tax liability position. Subsequent losses will generally not be benefitted until the Company re-establishes a net deferred tax liability.
Debt and Capital Leases
Continental's total debt and capital leases balance at the end of third quarter 2008 was $5.9 billion, of which $5.7 billion was debt.
As of October 15, 2008, the Company estimates that its scheduled debt and capital lease principal payments for the full year 2008 will be $699 million, with approximately $155 million, $157 million and $83 million paid in the first, second and third quarters respectively, and approximately $304 million to be paid in the fourth quarter of 2008.
Cash Capital Expenditures (in millions) |
2008 Estimate |
Fleet Related |
$187 |
EPS Estimated Share Count
Share count estimates for calculating basic and diluted earnings per share at different income levels are as follows:
Fourth Quarter 2008 (Millions)
Quarterly |
Number of Shares |
||
Earnings Level |
Basic |
Diluted |
Interest addback (net of applicable profit sharing and income taxes impact) |
Over $109 |
111 |
125 |
$6 |
Full Year 2008 (Millions)
Year-to-date |
Number of Shares |
||
Earnings Level |
Basic |
Diluted |
Interest addback (net of applicable profit sharing and income taxes impact) |
Over $113 |
105 |
119 |
$18 |
These share count charts are based upon several assumptions including market stock price and number of shares outstanding. The number of shares used in the actual EPS calculation will likely be different from those set forth above.
Fleet News
Continental Airlines Fleet Plan
Includes Aircraft Operated by the Company or Operated on the
Company's Behalf Under a Capacity Purchase Agreement
October 16, 2008
Net |
Net |
Net |
|||||
Total @ |
Changes |
Total @ |
Changes |
Total @ |
Changes |
Total @ |
|
9/30/08 |
4Q08E |
YE 2008E |
2009E |
YE 2009E |
2010E |
YE 2010E |
|
Mainline Jets |
|||||||
777-200ER* |
20 |
- |
20 |
- |
20 |
2 |
22 |
787-8 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
2 |
2 |
767-400ER |
16 |
- |
16 |
- |
16 |
- |
16 |
767-200ER |
10 |
- |
10 |
- |
10 |
- |
10 |
757-300 |
17 |
- |
17 |
- |
17 |
- |
17 |
757-200 |
41 |
- |
41 |
- |
41 |
- |
41 |
737-900ER** |
15 |
2 |
17 |
17 |
34 |
12 |
46 |
737-900 |
12 |
- |
12 |
- |
12 |
- |
12 |
737-800** |
115 |
1 |
116 |
1 |
117 |
- |
117 |
737-700 |
36 |
- |
36 |
- |
36 |
- |
36 |
737-300*** |
26 |
(3) |
23 |
(23) |
- |
- |
- |
737-500*** |
43 |
(1) |
42 |
(7) |
35 |
- |
35 |
Total Mainline |
351 |
(1) |
350 |
(12) |
338 |
16 |
354 |
Regional |
|||||||
ERJ-145 |
224 |
10 |
234 |
- |
234 |
(10) |
224 |
CRJ200LR |
24 |
(7) |
17 |
(10) |
7 |
(7) |
- |
Q400 |
15 |
- |
15 |
- |
15 |
- |
15 |
Q200 |
16 |
- |
16 |
- |
16 |
- |
16 |
Total Regional |
279 |
3 |
282 |
(10) |
272 |
(17) |
255 |
Total Count |
630 |
2 |
632 |
(22) |
610 |
(1) |
609 |
*Rescheduled two 777's originally scheduled for delivery in 2009 to deliver in 2010. |
|||||||
**Reflects agreement in principle with Boeing to reschedule 16 737NG deliveries from 2009-2010 to 2011 and beyond; Assumes 4 out of remaining 6 737NG deliveries scheduled for 2008 will be delivered in 2009. Final mix of new 737-800/-900ERs are subject to change. |
|||||||
***Final mix and quantity of 737-300 / 737-500 exits subject to change. |