UNITED STATES

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT

TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): September 8, 2005

CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

DELAWARE

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

1-10323

74-2099724

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

1600 Smith Street, Dept. HQSEO, Houston, Texas

77002

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

(713) 324-2950

(Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

______________________________________

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act

(17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act

(17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.

On September 8, 2005, we provided an update for investors presenting information relating to our financial and operational outlook for the third quarter and full year 2005. The letter is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

 

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

    1. Exhibits

 

99.1

Investor Update

     

 

 

SIGNATURE

 

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Continental Airlines, Inc. has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

CONTINENTAL AIRLINES, INC.

 

 

September 8, 2005

By   /s/ Jennifer L. Vogel


        Jennifer L. Vogel


        Senior Vice President, General Counsel
        and Secretary

 

   
   
   

 

 

EXHIBIT INDEX

99.1

Investor Update

   

 

 

Exhibit 99.1
DeAnne Gabel
Director - Investor Relations

Investor Update

Issue Date: September 8, 2005


This update contains forward-looking statements that are not limited to historical facts, but reflect the company's current beliefs, expectations or intentions regarding future events. All forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. For examples of such risks and uncertainties, please see the risk factors set forth in the company's 2004 10-K/A and its other securities filings, including any amendments thereto, which identify important matters such as the consequences of its significant financial losses and high leverage, terrorist attacks, domestic and international economic conditions, the significant cost of aircraft fuel, labor costs, competition, and industry conditions, including the demand for air travel, the airline pricing environment and industry capacity decisions, regulatory matters and the seasonal nature of the airline business. In addition to the foregoing risks, there can be no ass urance that the company will be able to obtain the needed pay and benefit reductions from its flight attendants or that the ratified agreements and the pay and benefit reductions and work rule changes from other work groups will enable the company to achieve the cost reductions expected, which will depend, upon other matters, on timely and effective implementation of new work rules, actual productivity improvement, employee attrition, technology implementation, our level of business activity, relations with employees generally and the ultimate accuracy of certain assumptions on which our cost savings are based. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this update.


Current News
The Company recently announced an order for two additional new Boeing 777-200ER widebody aircraft to support its continuing international expansion. The aircraft are scheduled for delivery in the first quarter 2007. The Boeing Company has agreed to provide backstop financing for the aircraft.

Despite the continued improvement in revenue trends, the Company expects to record a significant loss for 2005 due to record high fuel prices.

Pay and Benefit Reductions: The Company expects to achieve approximately $300 million of savings in 2005 from pay and benefit reductions that have been achieved for most work groups and approximately $418 million of savings on an annualized basis when fully implemented.

Cargo, Mail and Other Revenue: Continental estimates cargo, mail and other revenue will be approximately $230 million for the third quarter 2005.

Debt and Capital Leases: Debt principal and capital lease payments for the third quarter 2005 are estimated to be approximately $74 million.

2005 Pension Expense and Contributions
Continental estimates its contributions during 2005 to its pension plans, net of estimated pension expense, will be approximately $63 million.  This amount includes non-cash pension expense of approximately $241 million and estimated contributions of approximately $304 million.  To date, the company has contributed $220 million to its pension plans which consists of 12.1 million shares of ExpressJet stock valued at $130 million during the first half of 2005, $50 million of cash in the second quarter of 2005 and an additional $40 million of cash in July 2005.


The $241 million estimated pension expense for 2005 includes the first quarter curtailment charge of $43 million related to the freezing of the pilots' portion of the company's defined benefit pension plan.

Fuel Hedges
Continental does not currently have any fuel hedges.

Income from Affiliates / Tax Sharing Agreement with ExpressJet Holdings, Inc.
Continental expects Income from Affiliates for the third quarter 2005 to be between $20 and $25 million. Also included in this range is approximately $7 million related to the tax-sharing agreement with ExpressJet. For more information regarding this tax-sharing agreement, please see our 2004 Form 10-K/A.

Targeted Cash Balance
Continental anticipates ending the third quarter of 2005 with an unrestricted cash and short-term investments balance between $1.9 and $2.0 billion. Continental expects to end the year 2005 with an unrestricted cash and short-term investments balance of approximately $1.5 billion. These targets do not include any additional financings other than aircraft financings.

Advanced Bookings - Six Week Outlook
Domestic advanced bookings through mid-October are slightly ahead compared to last year at this time. International advanced bookings are running slightly behind the same period last year on a year-over-year ("yoy") capacity increase of approximately 16%. The company is comfortable that the mainline load factor for the third quarter will be flat to up slightly. Continental is seeing a trend toward booking closer to the date of travel, as pricing has made fares closer to the travel date more attractive than in prior periods.

Continental expects mainline Domestic third quarter load factor will be up about 2 points yoy on about 3% more capacity yoy. Domestic mainline yields are expected to see a slight yoy improvement in the third quarter.

For the third quarter, the mainline Transatlantic load factor is expected to be flat to down slightly yoy on a capacity increase of about 15.5% yoy, with solid yoy yield improvements expected.

Mainline Latin load factor for the third quarter is expected to be down 2-3 points yoy on a capacity increase of about 6.5%, with solid yoy yield improvements expected.

Mainline Pacific third quarter load factor is expected to be down about 4 points yoy on a capacity increase of about 31% yoy, mainly attributable to our new EWR-Beijing route. Pacific yields are expected to improve modestly for the third quarter yoy.

 

2005 Estimated
Year-over-Year %Change

ASMs (Available Seat Miles)

3rd Qtr.(E)

Full Year(E)

Domestic
Latin America
Transatlantic
Pacific
Total Mainline

Regional

Consolidated

3.0%
6.5%
15.5%
31.0%
8.7%

18.0%

9.7%

0.7%
4.5%
16.5%
20.5%
6.1%

15.6%

7.1%


For the full year 2006, Continental expects to grow its mainline capacity by approximately
5-7% yoy.

 

2005 Estimate

Load Factor

3rd Qtr.(E)

Full Year(E)

Continental
Regional

81 - 82%
76 - 77%

80 - 81%
74 - 75%


 

2005 Estimate (cents)

Mainline Operating Statistics

3rd Qtr.(E)

Full Year(E)

CASM
  Special items per ASM (a)
CASM Less Special Items (b)
  Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes per ASM
CASM Less Special Items and Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes (c)

9.91 - 9.96
- -
9.91 - 9.96
2.89

7.02 - 7.07

10.18 - 10.23
0.05
10.13 - 10.18
2.69

7.44 - 7.49


 

2005 Estimate (cents)

Consolidated Operating Statistics*

3rd Qtr.(E)

Full Year(E)

CASM
  Special items per ASM (a)
CASM Less Special Items (b)
  Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes per ASM
CASM Less Special Items and Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes (c)

10.75 - 10.80
- -
10.75 - 10.80
3.10

7.65 - 7.70

11.01 - 11.06
0.04
10.97 - 11.02
2.89

8.08 - 8.13


*Consolidated is defined as mainline plus regional.

 

2005 Estimate

Fuel Gallons Consumed

3rd Qtr.(E)

Full Year(E)

Mainline
Regional

Fuel Price per Gallon (including fuel taxes)

365 Million
  80 Million

$1.89

1,376 Million
   298 Million

$1.76

 

 

2005 Estimated Amounts ($Millions)

Selected Expense Amounts

3rd Qtr.(E)

Full Year(E)

Aircraft Rent
Landing Fees & Other Rentals
Depreciation & Amortization
Net Interest Expense

$234
$187
  $97
  $83

$932
$726
$391
$330


Continental Airlines, Inc. Tax Computation
Due to accumulated losses, Continental has stopped recording income tax benefit on current and future book losses.


Cash Capital Expenditures

2005 Estimate
($Millions)

Fleet Related
Non-Fleet
Rotable Parts & Capitalized Interest
   Total
Net Purchase Deposits
Total Cash Capital Expenditures

$80
120
      35
$235
    1
$236

 


EPS Estimated Share Count
Share count estimates for calculating basic and diluted earnings per share at different income levels are as follows:

Third Quarter 2005 (Millions)

Quarterly

Number of Shares

 

Earnings Level

Basic

Diluted

Interest Addback

Over $71
Between $38 - $71
Between $18 - $37
Under $18
Net Loss

67.0
67.0
67.0
67.0
67.0

86.3
82.2
77.2
68.4
67.0

$8.6
$4.8
$2.3
- --
- --



Full Year 2005 Basic Share Count (Millions)

Year-to-Date

Number of Shares

 

Earnings Level

Basic

Diluted

Interest Addback

Over $188
Between $98 - $188
Between $48 - $97
Under $48
Net Loss

66.9
66.9
66.9
66.9
66.9

85.4
81.3
76.3
67.5
66.9

$23.1
$12.9
$6.1
- --
- --



These share counts are based upon several assumptions including market stock price and number of shares outstanding. The number of shares used in the actual EPS calculation will likely be different from those set forth above.

Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Information
(millions except CASM data)

Mainline

3rd Qtr. Range(E)

Full Year Range(E)

Operating Expenses - GAAP

$ 2,367

$ 2,379

$ 9,144

$ 9,189

Special Items (a)

-

-

(43)

(43)

Operating Expenses Excluding Special
Items - Non-GAAP (b)

$ 2,367

$ 2,379

$ 9,100

$ 9,145

Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes

(690)

(690)

(2,422)

(2,422)

Operating Expenses Excluding Special Items and Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes - Non-GAAP (c)

$ 1,677

$ 1,689

$ 6,678

$ 6,723

ASMs (millions)

23,890

23,890

89,820

89,820

Mainline CASM (cents)

CASM-GAAP

9.91

9.96

10.18

10.23

Special Items per ASM (a)

-

-

0.05

0.05

CASM Excluding Special Items -
Non-GAAP (b)

9.91

9.96

10.13

10.18

Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes per ASM

2.89

2.89

2.69

2.69

CASM Excluding Special Items and Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes - Non-GAAP (c)

7.02

7.07

7.44

7.49

Consolidated (Mainline plus Regional)

3rd Qtr. Range(E)

Full Year Range(E)

Operating Expenses - GAAP

$ 2,910

$ 2,924

$ 11,214

$ 11,265

Special Items (a)

-

-

(43)

(43)

Operating Expenses Excluding Special
Items - Non-GAAP (b)

$ 2,910

$ 2,924

$ 11,171

$ 11,222

Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes

(840)

(840)

(2,946)

(2,946)

Operating Expenses Excluding Special Items and Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes - Non-GAAP (c)

$ 2,070

$ 2,084

$ 8,225

$ 8,276

ASMs (millions)

27,070

27,070

101,850

101,850

Consolidated CASM (cents)

CASM-GAAP

10.75

10.80

11.01

11.06

Special Items per ASM (a)

-

-

0.04

0.04

CASM Excluding Special Items -
Non-GAAP (b)

10.75

10.80

10.97

11.02

Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes per ASM

3.10

3.10

2.89

2.89

CASM Excluding Special Items and Aircraft Fuel & Related Taxes - Non-GAAP (c)

7.65

7.70

8.08

8.13


(a) Special items include a $43 million curtailment charge related to the company's defined benefit pension plan.

(b) These financial measures provide management and investors the ability to measure and monitor Continental's performance on a consistent basis.

(c) Cost per available seat mile excluding fuel, related taxes and special items is computed by multiplying fuel price per gallon, including fuel taxes, by fuel gallons consumed and subtracting that amount from operating expenses then dividing by available seat miles. This statistic provides management and investors the ability to measure and monitor Continental's cost performance absent special items and fuel price volatility. Both the cost and availability of fuel are subject to many economic and political factors and therefore are beyond our control.